Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Involvement
Multidisciplinary Workshop in Reykjavík 26 - 27 August 2010
The workshop aims at the strengthening links and exchange information among Nordic researchers and practitioners in adaptive management related to climate change. The workshop concentrates on three topics:
- What is the difference between adaptation and adaptive management?
- Participatory planning process - group model building
- Uncertainty and risk assessment
For all topics, presentations both on theory & methods and on case studies will be given.
Climate change will cause major effects for many sectors. Adaptation to future changed climate poses large and complex challenges as well as opportunities for societies, whereas solutions may often entail trade-offs between sectors, areas, social groups, and various risks. For these reasons decision making and decision support for adaptation to climate change is complex in several respects.
First of all, assessment of climate change effects involves various sorts of large uncertainties, with possibly different interpretations by different groups. Hence identification of robust solutions is often difficult.
Secondly, some of these uncertainties can be quantified statistically while others can only be characterized qualitatively.
Thirdly, the various effects considered may have different time profiles, which may lead to balancing the priorities between urgency and severity.
Finally, decision making in a changing world requires consideration of consequences of events in economic and political terms, probabilities of these events, as well as social agents’ risk perceptions and their willingness to adapt, i.e. trade (near) future benefits for lowered future risks. Therefore adaptive management is truly multidisciplinary with uncertainty and stakeholder engagement as two key elements.