• Warning

    Fissure eruption in Holuhraun (north of Vatnajökull).
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    Today (Wednesday) gas pollution from the eruption will affect areas in the northern parts. Tomorrow (Thursday) gas pollution will be felt mostly in the northwestern parts. More
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    Strong gale (more than 20 m/s) is expected in the northeast part today. Valid to 23.10.2014 01:00 More
Workshop in Reykjavík

Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Involvement

Multidisciplinary Workshop in Reykjavík 26 - 27 August 2010

The workshop

The workshop aims at the strengthening links and exchange information among Nordic researchers and practitioners in adaptive management related to climate change. The workshop concentrates on three topics:

  • What is the difference between adaptation and adaptive management?
  • Participatory planning process - group model building
  • Uncertainty and risk assessment

For all topics, presentations both on theory & methods and on case studies will be given.

Background

Climate change will cause major effects for many sectors. Adaptation to future changed climate poses large and complex challenges as well as opportunities for societies, whereas solutions may often entail trade-offs between sectors, areas, social groups, and various risks. For these reasons decision making and decision support for adaptation to climate change is complex in several respects.

Seeds for the future
seeds in the sun
Photo: Hjörleifur Sveinbjörnsson.

First of all, assessment of climate change effects involves various sorts of large uncertainties, with possibly different interpretations by different groups. Hence identification of robust solutions is often difficult.

Secondly, some of these uncertainties can be quantified statistically while others can only be characterized qualitatively.

Thirdly, the various effects considered may have different time profiles, which may lead to balancing the priorities between urgency and severity.

Finally, decision making in a changing world requires consideration of consequences of events in economic and political terms, probabilities of these events, as well as social agents’ risk perceptions and their willingness to adapt, i.e. trade (near) future benefits for lowered future risks. Therefore adaptive management is truly multidisciplinary with uncertainty and stakeholder engagement as two key elements.




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