Projections
Iceland
-70%
-10% Temperature
Precipitation
+3%
Temperature
Precipitation
Scandinavia
-80%
Glacier Volume Projections
Iceland
-70%
-10% Temperature
Precipitation
+3%
Temperature
Precipitation
Scandinavia
Large differences between GCMs
GCMs too coarse ?
--> Do RCMs do a better job?
-80%
Volume Projections: Storglaciären
-73%
78%
M
M
Volume Projections: Mårmaglaciären
-50%
-48%
M
M
Volume
/media/ces/Hock_Regine_CES_2010rs.pdf
17 24 64
Sustainability Eventually 5 3 30 28 66
Fortress Europe 18 11 30 23 72
Policy Rules 6 5 13 17 41
Total 44 27 80 92 243
844 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851
Author's personal copy
sector. The presence of various climate-related strategies is a consequence of the presence of climate-related obstacles and
opportunities.
3.4.6. Robust elements
Results
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
Skaftá cauldron in the Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland
Bergur Einarsson
90 pp
5,7 Mb
2009-002
A survey of active slope movements in Central-North IcelVI_2009_002rs and from satellite radar interferometry
Sigurjón Jónsson
78 pp
9,2 Mb
NOMEK2009
Report to the Directors of the Nordic Meteorological Services and EUMETSAT
Kristín Hermannsdóttir, Mikael Hellgreen, Birgitte Knudsen, Vibeke
/about-imo/publications/2009/
.............................................................................................................................. 27
4.3 Extraction of the ICRA timeseries ....................................................................................... 28
5 RESULTS ............................................................................................................................ 29
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf
catchments in relation to CMIP5 climate scenarios . 27
5.2.1 Presentation of the climate datasets ................................................................... 27
5.2.2 Incorporation of the climate projections to the ICRA dataset ........................... 28
5.2.3 New 1M5 maps including climate projections .................................................. 31
5.2.4 New return levels
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
decade within the 2004–50
period, for the UKMO HadCM3, and the MPI ECHAM5-r3. . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
7 Mean annual surface air temperature and total precipitation during the 1961–90
control period, and linear trends within the 1958–2001 period, for the ERA-40
reanalyses. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29
8 Differences between the RCM and underlying
/media/ces/2010_005_.pdf
the 5th, 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 90th and the 95th percentiles of the
observed distributions for the periods 1961-1990 (6190) and 1961-2008 (6108) and the
model-adjusted distributions for the years 2010, 2030 and 2050. The values are multiplied by
10 (e.g. “-78” means -7.8°C). The last four columns give the probabilities of very cold (VC),
cold (C), warm (W) and very warm (VW) Decembers, using
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf