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Results:

• 1. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 2. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf

• 3. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

  support ) Improv e mode l (integration) ; socia llea rnin g Farmers ,loca l aut horities , association s NO P IN D Cognitiv e mappin g HE T GM B NO P HE T Simulation - by-han d OT :Researcher s KA F F Iska r (Phas e1 ) Co n ce pt u al m o de l (D is cu ss io n su pp o rt ; Com m unication ) Improv e mode l (integration) ; socia llea rnin g Nationa l poli cy-maker s NO P IN D Cognitiv e mappin g HE /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf

• 4. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  296 Public Choice (2010) 143: 293–301 2 The commons The literature on the commons, or what is more technically defined as common-pool re- sources (CPRs), should be viewed initially from its place in the larger literature on dilem- mas of collective action. Since the foundational work of H. Scott Gordon (1954) on the com- mons, and Mancur Olson (1965) on collective action more broadly, the behavioral /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 5. IMO_AnnualReport2014

  of events closely. Photo: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir. Bárðarbunga Pálmi Erlendsson, Bergur H. Bergsson and others installing GPS and com- munication equipment. Photos: Þorgils Ingvarsson and Benedikt G. Ófeigsson. I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 5 The magma intrusion from Bárðarbunga to the eruption site at Holuhraun and related tremor pulses /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf

• 6. 2005EO260001

  level in Skeidará waned. The last sign of a crater explosion was seen at GRF early on 6 November, leaving only a weak tremor signal from the remnants of the jökulhlaup. The jökulhlaup fi nally ended in early December, after ~0.8 km3 of water had drained from the Grímsvötn lake (J. Hardardóttir, personal com- munication, 2005). Location and Volume Constraints Earthquake locations at Grímsvötn /media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf

• 7. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

  a systematic com- parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un- dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non- resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed and simulated precipitation are often /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf

• 8. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  and possibly the stake- holders at different phases of the modelling project. Many QA guidelines exist such as Middlemis (2000) and Van Waveren et al. (1999). The HarmoniQuA project (Schol- ten et al., 2007; Refsgaard et al., 2005a) has developed a com- prehensive set of QA guidelines for multiple modelling domains combined with a supporting software tool, MoST (downloadable via http /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 9. VI_2009_006_tt

  to theoretical framework. I do also want to thank him for an enjoyable time during this work, both in the office and in the field. This work was carried out as a part of the Skaftá cauldrons research project which was funded and supported by the Icelandic Centre For Research (RANNÍS), Kvískerja- sjóður, the NASA Astrobiology Institute, Landsvirkjun (the National Power Com- pany), the National Energy /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf

• 10. Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change

  at the operational/local level. A calibrated approach (standardized questionnaires and interviews, expert judgment, and reinterpretation of out- comes by means of relevant literature) was used to com- pare the state of affairs in water management in the selected case-studies. Adaptive and integrated water management Given the expected increase of climate-related extreme events, water governance capabilities /media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf