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Results:

• 1. Kok_JGEC658_2009

  scenario development, with an example from Brazil Kasper Kok * Land Dynamics, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands 1. Introduction The world is undergoing rapid changes while globalising constantly, which gives the consideration of the future new urgency and importance. Scenario development has emerged as a key method when taking /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

• 2. Traffc-maintenance_expenditures

  Manage- Basic Purchase Road Road net- Const- Acquisi- Govern- Com- Participati- Value Miscel- Total 2009 ment and road of equip- system work post- ruction tion of ment missi- on of the added laneous cost operating manage- ment develop- poned-, of land grants ons European tax over- level costs ment ment comprehen- build- and com- Regional De- heads 1991- 1991- sive- and ings pensation /media/loftslag/Traffc-maintenance_expenditures.pdf

• 3. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 4. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf

• 5. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

  et al. (2010) von Korff et al. (2010) Methods: Hare et al. (2006) Hare et al. (2005) Kaner (2007) Lunch 13:30 - 15:00 Scenario development - an introduction to concepts, methods and tools KK Kok and Veldkamp (2011) Kok et al. (2011) Kok (2009) Kok and van Delden (2009) 15:00 - 16:30 Risk perception LE Lorenzoni and Pidgeon (2006) Stern (2000) Coffee 16:30 - 18:00 PhD /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf

• 6. Literature and papers

  Eriksson_Garvill_Nordlund_2006 Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change IPPC-2007-ar4_syr Kok&VanDelden_E&PB_2009 Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160 Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011 Kok_JGEC658_2009 Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006 Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science Moellenkampetal_etal-2010 /nonam/phd-summerschool/material/literature-papers/

• 7. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  296 Public Choice (2010) 143: 293–301 2 The commons The literature on the commons, or what is more technically defined as common-pool re- sources (CPRs), should be viewed initially from its place in the larger literature on dilem- mas of collective action. Since the foundational work of H. Scott Gordon (1954) on the com- mons, and Mancur Olson (1965) on collective action more broadly, the behavioral /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 8. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

  Kasper Kok – Wageningen University, the Netherlands NONAM PhD course - Copenhagen, 22-26 August 2011 Scenario development Concept and examples Scenario development in two lectures Lecture 1 – Monday 22 August, 13:00-14:15 Background, overarching issues, concepts, definitions, tools • Complex Systems • Tools and methods to analyse complex systems • Scenarios Lecture 2 – Wednesday 24 August, 10:15 /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf

• 9. IMO_AnnualReport2014

  of events closely. Photo: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir. Bárðarbunga Pálmi Erlendsson, Bergur H. Bergsson and others installing GPS and com- munication equipment. Photos: Þorgils Ingvarsson and Benedikt G. Ófeigsson. I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 5 The magma intrusion from Bárðarbunga to the eruption site at Holuhraun and related tremor pulses /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf

• 10. NONAM-PhD_program

  - risk management - Part 2 Eriksson Exercise work - how to combine into a general adaptive management framework PhD students 10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee 11:00 - 12:45 Stakeholder involvement methodologies - Part 1 Hare Exercise work PhD students Scenario building methodologies - Part 2 Kok Uncertainty - concepts and tools - Part 2 Refsgaard Case in adaptive management /media/vedurstofan/NONAM-PhD_program.pdf