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is substantial since DMI is a very strong Met Institute with a
strong research- and operational culture from which we have bene-
fitted for a number of years. A joint forecasting area over Iceland
and large part of Greenland will be one of the products of the
co-operation and will improve our forecasting and warning services.
The computer will be installed in our facilities which are up to the
best/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
in what terms uncertainty can best be
scribed. The vertical axis identifies the location or source
external economic, environmental, political, social and
technological circumstances that form the context of the
problem.
Input uncertainty in terms of external driving forces
(within or outside the control of the water manager) and
system data that drive the model such as land use maps,
Certainty
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
by
rescaling a dimensionless regional flood frequency distribution or growth curve, qR(D;T ), com-
mon to all sites of the homogeneous region, with the so-called index flood, µi(D), of the target
site:
bQi(D;T ) = µi(D)qR(D;T ); (1)
where bQi(D;T ) is the estimated flood quantile, i.e. the T -year flood peak discharge averaged
over duration D, at site i. The regional growth curve, qR(D;T
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
a systematic com-
parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un-
dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at
days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the
occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non-
resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed
and simulated precipitation are often
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
are the
standardization of best practices, access to data, and coordination of research
activities in the development of its global cryospheric observation network,
called the CryoNet. Much of this development builds on existing programs and observations
among a community of cryospheric scientists and organizations. Tapping into the
WMO Information System (WIS) as part of WMO's Integrated Global
/about-imo/news/imo-s-involvement-in-wmo-s-global-cryosphere-watch
days a week by The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, met.no, and published between 2 and 3 pm. The maps are based on satellite images.
Various ice maps can be viewed on their web.
The ice-map which best shows seas around Iceland is also available on our web. While viewing, it is advisable to refresh the web-site to make sure that the latest map appears.
The ice chart colour code standard
/sea-ice/sea-ice-maps/met-no/
of mankind) and
differences between climate models (how climate responds to changes in
atmospheric composition). In the short run, most of the uncertainty comes from
natural variability.
As shown by this example (best-estimate temperature and precipitation changes
in Finland), the emission scenario uncertainty remains small until about the
year 2040. Thus, during the timeframe of the CES project
/media/ces/CES_D2_2_poster_3x3.pdf
of large natural events in
the 1960s and early 1970s showed that this line of thought was at the best wrong, but possibly
also dangerous. Since then the need for natural hazard management in the broad sense has
become more and more obvious in Iceland. The assessment of Icelandic natural hazards fit
very well into the frame proposed by the WMO at the end of the International Decade for
Natural
/media/loftslag/Trausti_Jonsson_(IMO,_Ice).pdf
)
and summer balance (bs) have been carried out at
Storbreen since 1949. Here we apply a simple mass
balance model to study the climate sensitivity and
to reconstruct the mass balance series prior to 1949.
The model is calibrated and validated with data
from an automatic weather station (AWS) operating
in the ablation zone of Storbreen since 2001. Re-
gression analysis revealed that bw was best mod
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf