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  • 1. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    et al. (2010) von Korff et al. (2010) Methods: Hare et al. (2006) Hare et al. (2005) Kaner (2007) Lunch 13:30 - 15:00 Scenario development - an introduction to concepts, methods and tools KK Kok and Veldkamp (2011) Kok et al. (2011) Kok (2009) Kok and van Delden (2009) 15:00 - 16:30 Risk perception LE Lorenzoni and Pidgeon (2006) Stern (2000) Coffee 16:30 - 18:00 PhD /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
  • 2. Literature and papers

    Eriksson_Garvill_Nordlund_2006 Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change IPPC-2007-ar4_syr Kok&VanDelden_E&PB_2009 Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160 Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011 Kok_JGEC658_2009 Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006 Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science Moellenkampetal_etal-2010 /nonam/phd-summerschool/material/literature-papers/
  • 3. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    Kasper Kok – Wageningen University, the Netherlands NONAM PhD course - Copenhagen, 22-26 August 2011 Scenario development Concept and examples Scenario development in two lectures Lecture 1 – Monday 22 August, 13:00-14:15 Background, overarching issues, concepts, definitions, tools • Complex Systems • Tools and methods to analyse complex systems • Scenarios Lecture 2 – Wednesday 24 August, 10:15 /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 4. VI_2015_006

    ....................................................................................... 10 3 September 2012 .................................................................................. 12 3 Radiation fluxes at the surface ....................................................................... 16 4 Heat fluxes at the surface .............................................................................. 21 5 Net energy /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_006.pdf
  • 5. NONAM-PhD_program

    - risk management - Part 2 Eriksson Exercise work - how to combine into a general adaptive management framework PhD students 10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee 11:00 - 12:45 Stakeholder involvement methodologies - Part 1 Hare Exercise work PhD students Scenario building methodologies - Part 2 Kok Uncertainty - concepts and tools - Part 2 Refsgaard Case in adaptive management /media/vedurstofan/NONAM-PhD_program.pdf
  • 6. Refsgaard_1-Welcome

    of adaptive management in relation to climate change adaptation • To introduce students to tools and methodologies in topics of importance for adaptive management – scenario development – stakeholder involvement – risk perception – uncertainty assessments – socio-economics  Multidisciplinary Teachers • Kasper Kok, Wageningen University, The Netherlands • Louise Eriksson, Umeå University /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf
  • 7. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

    a near-zero pre-industrial background concentration, primarily due to human activities. {WGI 2.3, SPM; SROC SPM} There is very high confidence that the global average net effect of human activities since 1750 has been one of warm- ing, with a radiative forcing of +1.6 [+0.6 to +2.4] W/m2 (Figure 2.4). {WGI 2.3, 6.5, 2.9, SPM} The combined radiative forcing due to increases in CO2, CH4 and N2O /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
  • 8. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    development: Experiences from the SCENES project Kasper Kok a,, Mathijs van Vliet a, Ilona Bärlund c, Anna Dubel b, Jan Sendzimir b a Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands b International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplaz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria c Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Brückstrasse 3a, 39114 Magdeburg, Germany a r t i c /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
  • 9. Machguth_Horst_CES_2010

    experiments with different RCM’s • explore RCM biases • apply a different mass balance model data 2 RCM’s • HIRHAM4, Scenario A1B, 25 km, 1950-2100, Greenland • RCAO, Scenario A1B, 50 km, 1960-2100, Pan-Arctic 4 Weather Stations (Ta, Sin) • GC-Net Swiss Camp: 1150 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • GC-Net Crawford: 2020 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • Asiaq Station 437: 300 m a.s.l. (1983 – 2006) • DMI Illulisat /media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
  • 10. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    Copyright © 2011 by the author(s). Published here under license by the Resilience Alliance. Kok, K., and T. (A.) Veldkamp. 2011. Scale and governance: conceptual considerations and practical implications. Ecology and Society 16(2): 23. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss2/ art23/ Guest Editorial, part of a Special Feature on Scale and Governance Scale and Governance /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf

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