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  • 1. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    et al. (2010) von Korff et al. (2010) Methods: Hare et al. (2006) Hare et al. (2005) Kaner (2007) Lunch 13:30 - 15:00 Scenario development - an introduction to concepts, methods and tools KK Kok and Veldkamp (2011) Kok et al. (2011) Kok (2009) Kok and van Delden (2009) 15:00 - 16:30 Risk perception LE Lorenzoni and Pidgeon (2006) Stern (2000) Coffee 16:30 - 18:00 PhD /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
  • 2. Literature and papers

    Eriksson_Garvill_Nordlund_2006 Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change IPPC-2007-ar4_syr Kok&VanDelden_E&PB_2009 Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160 Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011 Kok_JGEC658_2009 Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006 Milly_etal-2008-Stationarity-dead-Science Moellenkampetal_etal-2010 /nonam/phd-summerschool/material/literature-papers/
  • 3. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    Kasper Kok – Wageningen University, the Netherlands NONAM PhD course - Copenhagen, 22-26 August 2011 Scenario development Concept and examples Scenario development in two lectures Lecture 1 – Monday 22 August, 13:00-14:15 Background, overarching issues, concepts, definitions, tools • Complex Systems • Tools and methods to analyse complex systems • Scenarios Lecture 2 – Wednesday 24 August, 10:15 /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 4. VI_2015_006

    ....................................................................................... 10 3 September 2012 .................................................................................. 12 3 Radiation fluxes at the surface ....................................................................... 16 4 Heat fluxes at the surface .............................................................................. 21 5 Net energy /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_006.pdf
  • 5. NONAM-PhD_program

    - risk management - Part 2 Eriksson Exercise work - how to combine into a general adaptive management framework PhD students 10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee 11:00 - 12:45 Stakeholder involvement methodologies - Part 1 Hare Exercise work PhD students Scenario building methodologies - Part 2 Kok Uncertainty - concepts and tools - Part 2 Refsgaard Case in adaptive management /media/vedurstofan/NONAM-PhD_program.pdf
  • 6. Refsgaard_1-Welcome

    of adaptive management in relation to climate change adaptation • To introduce students to tools and methodologies in topics of importance for adaptive management – scenario development – stakeholder involvement – risk perception – uncertainty assessments – socio-economics  Multidisciplinary Teachers • Kasper Kok, Wageningen University, The Netherlands • Louise Eriksson, Umeå University /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf
  • 7. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    development: Experiences from the SCENES project Kasper Kok a,, Mathijs van Vliet a, Ilona Bärlund c, Anna Dubel b, Jan Sendzimir b a Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands b International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplaz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria c Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Brückstrasse 3a, 39114 Magdeburg, Germany a r t i c /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
  • 8. Machguth_Horst_CES_2010

    experiments with different RCM’s • explore RCM biases • apply a different mass balance model data 2 RCM’s • HIRHAM4, Scenario A1B, 25 km, 1950-2100, Greenland • RCAO, Scenario A1B, 50 km, 1960-2100, Pan-Arctic 4 Weather Stations (Ta, Sin) • GC-Net Swiss Camp: 1150 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • GC-Net Crawford: 2020 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • Asiaq Station 437: 300 m a.s.l. (1983 – 2006) • DMI Illulisat /media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
  • 9. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    Copyright © 2011 by the author(s). Published here under license by the Resilience Alliance. Kok, K., and T. (A.) Veldkamp. 2011. Scale and governance: conceptual considerations and practical implications. Ecology and Society 16(2): 23. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol16/iss2/ art23/ Guest Editorial, part of a Special Feature on Scale and Governance Scale and Governance /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
  • 10. Kok_JGEC658_2009

    scenario development, with an example from Brazil Kasper Kok * Land Dynamics, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands 1. Introduction The world is undergoing rapid changes while globalising constantly, which gives the consideration of the future new urgency and importance. Scenario development has emerged as a key method when taking /media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf

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