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-2049. Projections are based on simulations performed
with 18 global climate models under the SRES A1B, A2 and B1 greenhouse gas scenar-
ios.
To facilitate reading the report, only the most essential diagrams and maps are included
in the main text, additional material being positioned in the appendix.
1 MODELLED SOLAR RADIATION DATA
The quantity examined is incident solar radiation (also termed
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf
provide tables and figures incor-
porating numerical data often generated by sophisticated
models. Finally, scenarios can be surprise-free or trend scenar-
ios, that extend foreseen developments, on the one hand or in-
clude surprises and exploring the extremes (e.g. best case/
worst case) on the other hand.
Scenarios can ensure that assumptions about future devel-
opments are made transparent
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
correlated, making the uncertainty of the changes much
smaller than the uncertainty of the absolute values. How-
ever, it is very difficult to quantify the uncertainty in the
simulated changes. In the discussion in this paper we
elaborate on the uncertainties related to the climate scenar-
ios and data, the data transfer method, and the hydrological
model structure, while here we focus
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf