82/2008, article 23) to change the scope of the access
controlled area north of Vatnajökull glacier. The decision is taken in close collaboration with the Icelandic
Meteorological Office, Vatnajökull National Park, the Icelandic Environmental Agency and the Directorate of Health.
At the end of January The Icelandic Meteorological Office carried out a new hazard assessment for gas pollution from
/media/jar/Access_conrolled_area_20150213.pdf
Reduction of the accesscontrolled area around Holuhraun lava field
END OF ERUPTION declaredby the Scientific Board
Location map (detailed)around the new lava field
Bárðarbunga earthquakes3D interactive model
Thickness and volumeestimate from January 1st
Comparing historic sizes of lavafields: AD 934 and 1783
Gas dispersion model
Preliminary flood risk
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/1225
changes in the September-April mean geostrophic wind speed from 1971-
2000 to 2046-2065 (left) and the statistical significance of the ensemble mean change according to a
standard t test (right). Light, medium and dark red shading indicate significance at the 95%, 99% and
99.9% levels, respectively.
95 % 99 % 99,9 %
4
Fig. 4. As Fig. 3, but for the autumn (September
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task2_CMIP3_winds.pdf
for Iceland were made. The CE
project used an ensemble of six GCMs and RCMs from the PRUDENCE project for four different
emissions scenarios (B1, B2, A2, and A1FI) developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC). The GCMs used by the CE project showed more warming during winter than
summer. During winter, the median projected warming from 1961–90 to 2070–99 ranged from
3–6 K, and from 2
/media/ces/2010_005_.pdf
striking
westwards and a group of N-S-striking pressure axis dipping 45 degrees from the
horizontal and more, suggesting that extensional forces play a large role. Figure 9 includes
the mechanisms of 82 out of the 99 earthquakes in total located between 17 and 26 km
depth and thus shows nearly the same results as described earlier for that interval, that the
tension axis is chiefly horizontal
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
ENSEMBLES ensemble, in a grid
box in western Norway. As expected, the local changes tend to increase with the large-scale
changes. However, as generally turns out to be the case, this relationship is much tighter for
temperature (the large-scale change explains 86% of the variance of the local change) than for
precipitation (only 40% of the variance of the local change is explained5
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
As time proceeds, the signal of greenhouse-gas-induced precipitation changes becomes better
discerned from natural variability. In the decade 2041-2050, the probability of increasing
annual mean precipitation over Finland, north-western Russia and much of Scandinavia is 85-
95%. However, even at this time, the increase in precipitation is less certain in summer than in
the other seasons (Figure
/media/ces/raisanen_ruosteenoja_CES_D2.2.pdf