the observed data sets are smaller in SW than in NE
• MMM overestimates precipitation, but is closer to observations in SW than
NE barb2right Better observational coverage in SW
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SWNE
• Precipitation trends (mm / 10 yr) in 1961-2000 according to observations
and model simulations (MMM)
• Including the range
/media/ces/TietavainenHanna_CES_2010.pdf
Shipping forecasts
Southwest BanksN 5-13 M/S, STRG IN W. E 5-10 EVENING, SE 8-13 LATE NIGHT.Forecast made: 01.05.2023 04:48. Valid until: 03.05.2023 00:00.West Banks - south partNE 8-13, LGTR IN S EVENING. E 5
/weather/shipping/text/
Shipping forecasts
Southwest BanksN 5-13 M/S, STRG IN W. E 5-10 EVENING, SE 8-13 LATE NIGHT.Forecast made: 01.05.2023 04:48. Valid until: 03.05.2023 00:00.West Banks - south partNE 8-13, LGTR IN S EVENING. E 5
/weather/shipping/text
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
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ANNUAL REPOR T 2014
2
I C E L A N D I C ME T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
?Veðurstofa Íslands 2015
Bústaðavegur 7–9, 108 Reykjavík, Iceland
The annual report was drafted by the IMO staff.
Editor: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir
Design and layout: Hvíta húsið
Printing: Oddi
ISSN 2251-5607
Cover photo: Gro Birkefeldt Møller Pedersen
I N D E X
4 Bárðarbunga
7 Rockslide
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
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Ensemble approach for probabilistic
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/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
the two periods: from -0.2 to 0.2 m yr-1 w. eq. during
first period 1979/1984-1998 to -1.8 to -1.5 m yr-1 w. eq. for the more recent period 1998 to
2004. This declining mass balance takes place at the same time as the average regional
temperatures increased by ~1 °C from the first to the second period (1980-1998 to 1998 to
2004).
Location
Data
Eyjafjallajökull (E), Tindfjallajökull (Ti
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf
activities.
Anne K. Fleig et al. “Regional hydrological droughts and weather types in north-western Europe “
University of Oslo Droughts WTs SummaryRelationsIntroduction Outlook
Hydrological drought in NW-Europe: Data
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Centre13
HadCM3Q0 (ref)HadRM3Q0Hadley Centre12
ECHAM5RACMO2KNMI11
HadCM3Q0 (ref)CLMETH10
ArpègeRM4.5CNRM9
HadCM3Q16 (high)RCA3C4I8
HadCM3Q0 (ref)RRCMVMGO7
HadCM3Q3 (low)RCA3SMHI6
ECHAM5RCA3SMHI5
BCMRCA3SMHI4
HadCM3Q0 (ref)HIRHAMMet.No3
ECHAM5HIRHAM5DMI2
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Selection of simulations
Ensemble mean change (2021-2050 vs
1961-1990) in T2m
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