response of the glacier to an ensemble of
climate change scenarios. Temperature measurements from
the meteorological station Hólar in Hornafjörður (HH) and
precipitation measurements from the station Fagurhólsmýri
(F), (15 and 85 km away from Hoffellsjökull, respectively;
locations shown in Fig. 1a), are used to force the coupled
model. A sensitivity study of various model parameters and
model
/media/ces/Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011.pdf
about 20-25% in 2010 to about 50% in 2050. Perhaps surprisingly,
a particularly high probability is found in Iceland, most likely as a result of the small
12
interannual variability there. As expected, the probability of very warn years rises even faster
than that of warm months – in northern Europe from typically 30-40% in 2010 to about 60-
80% in 2030 and to 85-95% or even more in 2050
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_task1.pdf
vatnsárunum
1979 til 1989 var meðalrennsli júnímánaðar 91 m3/s en á vatns-
árunum 2008 til 2018 var það 71 m3/s. Þarna koma minni vorleys-
ingar glöggt fram. Ef ársmeðalrennslið er skoðað er það 38 m3/s
yfir fyrri áratuginn en 42 m3/s yfir seinni áratuginn. Þar fer munurinn
í öfuga átt og rennslið hefur vaxið.
Aukin úrkoma mælist nú á Norðurlandi og jöklar hafa rýrnað og
skilað vatni. Tíminn sem
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VI_Arsskyrsla_2018_vef.pdf
and Irrigationa
Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Current 101 85 59 13 6 4 1 6 39 79 84 97
A2 145 132 73 10 10 7 6 8 4 75 92 123
B2 137 119 75 16 6 6 6 5 21 74 110 141
aValues are in millimeters.
10 of 18
W00A15 VAN ROOSMALEN ET AL.: CLIMATE AND LAND USE CHANGE W00A15
time and larger area where groundwater levels rise above
the drain levels. Table 6 shows the mean discharges
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf