FOREST BIOMASS FOR ENERGY PRODUCTION –
POTENTIALS, MANAGEMENT AND RISKS UNDER CLIMATE CHANGE
Ashraful Alam, Antti Kilpeläinen, Seppo Kellomäki
School of Forest Sciences,
University of Eastern Finland, Joensuu
F t Cli t d R bl E I t Ri k d Ad t tiu ure Cl ma e an enewa e nergy – mpac s, s s an ap a on
Oslo, Norway
2 June, 2010
Contents
• Forestry in Finland
• Challenges
• Objectives
/media/ces/Alam_Ashraful_CES_2010.pdf
course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011
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Figure 1. Flow chart summarizing information and decision flows of an adaptive management inspired
adaptation planning cycle for road transport (at national strategic / tactical level)
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EA Analyse A/S and Optensys
Energianalys will forecast energy system variables, while SINTEF Energy Research will make
assumptions for the energy system in different cases, include new inputs in the EMPS model and
carry out simulations.
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and dead trees
Tree population
Species composition,
age and size
distribution, growth rate
of different species
Potential growth
/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
frequency distributions for Re-
gion 1 derived with index flood model no. 6: bµ(D) = a(AP=Z)b ............................ 39
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Appendix VI - Empirical and modeled daily flood frequency distributions for
Region 2 derived with index flood model no. 3: bµ(D) = a(APm)b ......................... 41
Appendix VII - Instantaneous Index flood models for Region 1. .......................... 43
Appendix VIII
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
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Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
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A need for regional ensemble simulations
head2right Changes are uncertain
head2right Size and sometimes even sign
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
that occur in Botnabrún or at the rim of Þófinn are debris slides. The size of the slides
varies depending on the source area.
C Mudslides or mudflows occur where there is an abundance of soils. They normally occur
in areas where the vegetation cover has been breached. Common occurrences in Seyðis-
fjörður are in the mountain Bjólfur and in the valley west of the settlement.
D Rockfalls are a common
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2016/VI_2016_006_rs.pdf
Journal of Environmental Management 88
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A broad range of tools are available for integrated water resource management (IWRM). In the EU research project NeWater, a
Human dependence on water leaves us vulnerable to
climate change, flood and drought hazards, and poverty
dynamic element of vulnerable groups and their relation-
ship to water resources, and to represent the decisions
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
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CES conference, Oslo, Norway, 31 May - 2 June 2010
Typical features
• develop slowly,
• become severe when they cover a large region and persist for an
extended period.
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/media/ces/AnneFleig_May2010_CES.pdf
& Kjellstrom, E. Analysis of possible changes in intense and extreme wind speeds over northern Europe under climate change scenarios. Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0955-3 (In press).
Reihan, A. Koltsova, T., Kriauciuniene, J., Lizuma, L. & Meilutytë-Barauskienë, D. (2008). Changes in river runoff in Baltic States in 20th century and its relation to climate change. Nordic Hydrology 33
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