ECHAM4/OPYC3 NorClim/HIRHAM 25x25 km
'Empirical Adjustment' to 1 x 1 km
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1 10 100 1000
Return period (years)
P
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s
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1981-2010 GEV from annual max series
2021-2050 GEV from annual max series
2021 - 2050 Annual maximum series
1981 - 2010 Annual maximum series
1981-2010
200-year flood
2021
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf
located events to invert for a new 1D minimum velocity model for both
P- and S-waves using VELEST. A depth region of a lower vpvs ratio down to 20 km depth is revealed.
We perform relocation of the whole dataset using the new velocity model and the double-difference
relocation technique. We look into details of the depth distribution of the events and how the relocation
procedure affects
/media/norsem/norsem_buhcheva.pdf
will occasionally have to deal with
spurious events. At SNSN we are therefore investigating the feasibility to construct an event verifier.
The basic idea is to emulate the decision made by a seismologist viewing a section of recorded traces,
sorted by epicentral distance, and expecting to see direct P-phase arrivals on most traces out to the
most distant phase pick. Here we will report
/media/norsem/norsem_schmidt.pdf
...................................... 18
Figure 7. Temporal/spatial evolution of seismicity between 1996 and 2007. .................. 19
Figure 8. Temporal/spatial evolution during the latter intrusion swarm and until 2006. . 19
Figure 9. Mechanisms in selected depth intervals for the three main swarms. ................ 21
Figure 10. Distribution of P- and T-axis for events
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
inty in decision making linking pluriform uncertainty combining certified and tacit knowledge
Tommy Chan Mich el Laiho Patrick Driscoll Kare Lundgren Hector Guin a Barrientos
Eivind Junker Jussi Ylhäisi Athanasios Votsis
Karoliina Pilli-Sihvola Yuang Zheng Väi ö Nurmi Jiao Xi nj Wejs
a
pp
l
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)
1
3
/media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf
& Ólafsson, H. (2010). Validation of numerical simulations of precipitation in complex terrain at high temporal resolution. Hydrology Research, 41 (3-4), 164-170.
Christensen, J.H., Boberg, F., Christensen, O.B. & Lucas-Picher, P. (2008), On the need for bias correction of regional climate change projections of temperature and precipitation, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L20709, doi:10.1029/2008GL035694
/ces/publications/nr/1680
Dennis P. Lettenmaier
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering
University of Washington
Conference on Future Climate and Renewable Energy:
Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
Oslo
June, 1, 2010
Runoff projections and impacts on water
resources
Outline of this talk
1) Projected runoff changes over the next
century – the global and continental
picture
2) Downscaling to the regional
/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
Identification of Major Sources of Uncertainty in Current
IWRM Practice. Illustrated for the Rhine Basin
P. van der Keur & H. J. Henriksen & J. C. Refsgaard &
M. Brugnach & C. Pahl-Wostl & A. Dewulf & H. Buiteveld
Received: 13 December 2006 / Accepted: 10 January 2008
# Springer Science + Business Media B.V. 2008
Abstract Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) can be viewed as a complex
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
Tengö, D. Timmer,
and M. Zurek. 2007. Linking futures across scales:
a dialog on multiscale scenarios. Ecology and
Society 12(1): 17. [online] URL: http://www.ecolog
yandsociety.org/vol12/iss1/art17/.
Borgatti, S. P., and P. C. Foster. 2003. The network
paradigm in organizational research: a review and
typology. Journal of Management 29(6):991-1013.
Brenner, N. 2001. The limits to scale
/media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
Capacity (A)
F
r
e
q
u
e
n
c
y
control
future
+0.4std dev (as % of
mean)
-0.68max
-8.32min
-1.74mean
% change
June 2010 15
Time series
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500
550
600
650
700
Hour
C
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p
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c
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)
Typical year of control period
Seasonal average rating
Calculated capacity
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500
550
600
650
700
Hour
C
a
p
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A
)
Typical year under future scenario
Calculated capacity
Seasonal average
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf