pm
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t.
Co
ntex
t(natura
l,techni
ca
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s):
tra
ns
bo
un
da
ry
iss
ue
s
w
ith
man
y
di
ffe
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tspa
tia
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ales
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o
m
ic
an
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cl
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ologica
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nari
o
O
fte
n
domina
nt
D
ominant
:Compl
ex
Int
egrate
d
Sy
ste
m
A
na
ly
sis
(C
ISA
):
in
te
gr
at
ed
m
o
de
lli
ng
an
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as
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re
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
750-1170
AAR of the warm year of 2004
- digitized using the October 2004 SPOT 5 HRS images
Ice cap
E: Eyjafjallajökull
To: Torfajökull
Ti: Tindfjallajökull
AAR (%)
20-25
<5
0
Method
References
Berthier E., Arnaud Y., Baratoux D., Vincent C. and Rémy F. 2004. Recent rapid thinning of the "Mer de Glace" glacier derived from satellite optical images.
Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L17401, doi:10.1029
/media/ces/glacier_mass_balance_poster.pdf
in the period 6th to the 22nd, eight from ships and one from land. The icebergs were closest to land at 66°28,81'N og 21°23,86'V and close to Selsker (66°07,5N og 21°31'V).
No seaice was in the Greenland Strait in August and northeasterly winds prevailed in the area
/sea-ice/monthly/2009/nr/2330
respresenting the relationship (5) betweeen ice volume and ice-
covered area for Icelandic ice caps (v = csg with c = 0:048 and g= 1:23). Over the first 50–100
years, the simulated decreasing ice volume becomes progressively lower than would correspond
to the ice-covered area at the same point in time. The rapid glacier retreat thus results in an ice
volume that is 20% less than predicted
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
we take the corresponding
data from the CMIP5 project.
Table 1. All GCMs and RCMs used in this study. If a model is available for any of the
domains Arctic-44, EURO-44, or EURO-11, it is marked with a v, but with an x if it is
unavailable.
Model name Type EURO-11 EURO-44 Arctic-44
CCCma-CanESM2 GCM x vv
COSMO-CLM4-8-17 RCM vv x
CNRM-CERFACS-CNRM-CM5 GCM vv x
IHCEC-EC-Earth GCM vvv/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2017/VI_2017_009.pdf
glacier-scaling-hydrological model. 88-89.
Machguth, H., & Ahlstrøm, A. (2010). Surface Mass Balance of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the Paakitsoq Area, Illulisat, West Greenland - Scenarios and Related Uncertainties. p. 42-43.
Melvold, K. & Laumann, T. (2010). A coupled mass-balance and ice-flow model for Midtdalsbreen; projection of glacier length based on climate scenarios (CES). 90-91.
Radic, V/ces/publications/nr/1940
100
15 17 19 21 23 25
Mean annual peak runoff (mm/day)
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
a
g
e
b
e
l
o
w
g
i
v
e
n
v
a
l
u
e
g39g72g79g87g68g3g70g75g68g81g74g72g3
g40g80g83g76g85g76g70g68g79g3g68g71g77g88g86g87g80g72g81g87
Percentage change in 200-year flood
Uncertainty – Relative magnitude of
sampled s urces
N = 115
GCM/RCM = 50
EA/DC = 38
HBV = 27
• Differences in GCM/RCM
tend to be more significant
in inland
/media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf