Clausen, N.-E., Pryor, S. C., Guo Larsén, X., Hyvönen, R., Venäläinen, A., Suvilampi, E., Kjellström, E., Barthelmie, R. (2009). Are we facing increasing extreme winds in the future? EWEC 2009 Marseille session DT2A, 19 March 2009.
Engen-Skaugen,T & Førland, E.J. (2010). Future change in return values and extreme precipitation at selected catchments in Norway, met.no Report 20/2010 (draft).
Engen
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Pálsson F., Rögnvaldsson
Ó., Sigurðsson O., Snorrason Á., Sveinsson Ó. G. B., Thorsteinsson Th. 2007.
Effect of climate change on hydrology and hydro-resources in Iceland. Rep.
OS-2007/011, National Energy Authority, Reykjavík.
Liang, X.-Z., Li L. and Kunke K. E. 2004 Regional climate model simulation
of U.S. precipitation during 1982–2002. Part I: Annual cycle. J. Climate, 17,
3510–3529.
Pálsson, F
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf
research
VIII. Resources: extensive vs limited
IX. Institutional conditions: open vs constrained
C Scenario content - complex vs simple:
X. Temporal nature: chain vs snapshot
XI. Variables: heterogeneous vs homogenous
XII. Dynamics: peripheral vs trend
XIII. Level of deviation: alternative vs conventional
XIV. Level of integration: high vs low
Scenarios - types
EXAMPLE 1 – EXPLORATORY SCENARIOS
/media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
on the quantity at hand (strengths and weaknesses in
Box 1. The error propagation equation
The error propagation equations for the most common
operators are (s is the standard deviation):
Addition and Subtraction: z ¼ x þ yþ/ or z ¼
x y/
sz ¼
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
s2x
þ
s2y
þ/
r
Multiplication by an exact number: z
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
- Instantaneous Index flood models for Region 2.......................... 44
Appendix IX - Comparison between reference and estimated instantaneous index
floods for Region 1........................................................................................ 45
Appendix X - Comparison between reference and estimated instantaneous index
floods for Region 2
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
is based on Moho reflections from the location marked by the X (Vogfjörd et
al., 2002).
11
Figure 2. Upper: Cumulative number of earthquakes in and near to Eyjafjallajökull.
Lower: Magnitude distribution (local moment magnitude scale, Mlw).
1.2 Seismic activity and deformation of the volcano
The number of detected earthquakes in Eyjafjallajökull has risen substantially since
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_013.pdf
of Geophysical Research, 108(D3), 4124, doi:10.1029/2002JD002287.
IPCC (2001), Climate change 2001: the scientific basis. Contribution of working group I to the
third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. (eds. Houghton,
J. T. , Y. Ding, D. J. Griggs, M. Noguer, P. J. van der Linden, X. Dai, K. Maskell and C.
A. Johnson), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK
/media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
flood-threatened areas (from watercourses,
lakes and sea) and flood-proof areas
- If possible, make a map showing risks Risk = damage extent x probability
- Using the above-named maps, a vision plan should be prepared at a regional and municipal
level In connection with this, consider how interested parties can be involved in a debate about
visions
- Prepare a climate change adaptation plan
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
areas (from watercourses,
lakes and sea) and flood-proof areas
- If possible, make a map showing risks Risk = damage extent x probability
- Using the above-named maps, a vision plan should be prepared at a regional and municipal
level In connection with this, consider how interested parties can be involved in a debate about
visions
- Prepare a climate change adaptation plan with maps that show
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf