/EPP 2
Stakeholders analysis
26 August 2011 PM/YZ/EPP 3
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y/media/loftslag/Group5-Stakeholders_involvement.pdf
). This can be helpful with respect to
finding a common structure in presenting as well in session reporting (for which angles
mentioned in the opening session statements of the Workshop participants can provide
checkpoints).”
Session rapporteur allocation
M
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/media/loftslag/Guidelines2-for-rapporteurs.pdf
nostaa,
m utta
oh ijuoksutu
ksia tulee
Sähkönvas tus kasvaa
-> energ iahäv iö ita
Muuntajien
elinikä lyhenee
Jääkannen
m uodostaminen
h idastuu
Very likely,
the
probab ility
that the next
decade is
warmer is
90% .
Ilm iö
1 .1 – korkeammat
läm pötilat etenkin talvella
Skenario
1. Lä mpimäpi i lmasto
O ma luokitteluOma luokit te lu
Nykyiset t ai
tuleva t
varautumiskahdo
llisuudet
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
climate scenario. We will
apply this methodology in the current project also. An
important difference is however that the assumptions
for climate and energy system will refer to
approximately the same year.
0
10
20
30
4
0
5
0
6
0
7
0
8
0
9
0
1
0
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0 20 40 60 80 100 120
GWh/week
Eu
roCent/
k
W
h
Deman
d
Supp
l
y
Minimum
system costs
Water values
Marginal
costs
Simulating stochastic
/media/ces/esa_flyer_new.pdf
no
tcaus
e
mor
e
problem
si
n
th
e
(far
)futur
e
(20
year
s
o
r
more
)
Vos
s
et
al
.(
200
6),
Dub
e
an
d
Swatu
k
(200
2),
Kicker
te
t
al
.(
199
7)
Alread
y
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w
preparation
s
ar
e
take
n
fo
rth
e
(far
)futur
e
(20
year
s
o
r
more
)
Raadgeve
re
t
al
.(
200
8),
Pahl-Wos
te
t
al
.(
2007
c),
Vos
s
et
al
.(
200
6)
13
.Flexibl
e
measures
,
keepin
g
option
s
ope
n
Measure
s
take
n
no
w
o
r
propose
d
fo
rth
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
measures
Downscaling and
statistical correction
Water system impacts
Hydro-ecological models
Socio-economic
scenarios
Socio-economic
impacts
Fig. 2 Structural elements in
the assessment of climate change
impacts and adaptation illustrating
the uncertainty cascade
Mitig Adapt Strateg Glob Change
Tabl
e
1
Ch
aracterisatio
n
o
fke
y
sou
rce
s
o
fun
certaint
y
in
th
eun
certaint
y
casc
ad
ean
d
thei
rnatur
/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
would lead to a reduction of 20%
of total annual tourist flow to Spain between 2004 and 2080; Hein, Metzger and Moreno
[9] obtain an average decrease up to 14% in 2060 compared to 2004 - result of higher
losses in summer and slight increases in the remainder of the year-.
Nevertheless, some studies offer a more positive outlook. According to the Fundación
Empresa y Clima [7], the tourist
/media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf
witnessed severe flood in 2006, when
sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal. The extreme rainfall events will bring pressures to the local
drainage system as well.
This project is aiming to build scenarios for adaptive flood management in the coming 20 years for
Horsens Fjord, based IPCC emission scenario A2. The climate situation is shown in Table 1. Two
adaptive water management (AWM
/media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf
?
• Based on thermodynamic and heat
transfer models accounting for:
Wire
resistance
Solar
heating
Radiative
cooling
Convective
cooling
June 2010 7
How are ratings determined?
• UK network standards assume seasonal
average temperatures and worst-case
wind conditions, i.e. low wind speeds
Summer → 20˚C; Spring/Autumn → 9˚C;
Winter → 2˚C
• Real-time monitoring (‘dynamic rating’) is
not commonly
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf