), 3) samband milli skjálftaáhrifa og
mesta hraða og hröðunar, 4) þróun sjálfvirkra, rauntíma „alert“ korta og hristingskorta
(ShakeMap) fyrir jarðskjálfta, 5) undirbúning rauntímakortlagningar á eftirskjálftavá, og 6)
rauntímakortlagningu spennuútlausnaskjálfta. Upplýsingar um SAFER verkefnið má finna á
vefsíðunni: http:// www.saferproject.net/.
7
1. Development
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25
30
35
40
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
B
C
M
Current Use + Reservoir Evap: 18.0 BCM
Simulated Historical: 19.7 BCM
Control: 17.8 BCM
Periods 1-3: 16.0 - 16.9 BCM
Storage Reservoirs
Run of River Reservoirs
CRRM
• Basin storage aggregated into 4
storage reservoirs
– Lake Powell and Lake Mead have 85% of
basin storage
• Reservoir evaporation = f(reservoir
surface area, mean
/media/ces/Lettenmaier_Dennis_CES_2010pdf.pdf
) 555 535 391 753 664 480
% Glacierized area 0 0 0 11 20 12
% Grassland <1 43 25 15 10 25
% Woodland <1 0 0 0 2 2
% Moss 59 25 0 9 14 13
% Little or no vegetation 35 27 30 63 47 36
% Wetland 0 5 46 <1 6 7
% Lakes 6 <1 <1 <1 <13
10
3 Data
Various meteorological and hydrological parameters were extracted and used to select ana-
logues.
3.1 Hydrological data
A set of six river basins of various
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
place in the same area on 5
December in 1968 (Tryggvason, 1973; Erlendsson and Einarsson, 1996; Halldórsson,
2004). A quite large event also occurred on the RP on 10 June 1933. Its best known
location is near to Fagradalsfjall, at 63.9°N and 22.2°W, and it was probably of magnitude
M 5.5 (Tryggvason, 1973; Halldórsson, 2004).
8
F
ig
ure
1
.3
.
A
m
a
p
s
h
o
w
in
g
e
p
ice
n
tr
e
lo
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/2010_003rs.pdf
AVAILABLE FROM:
http://www.atm.helsinki.fi/~jaraisan/CES_D2.3/CES_D2.3.html
2
Table of Contents
Abstract 11. Introduction 2
2. Model simulations 4
3. Methods used for deriving probabilistic climate change forecasts 7
3.1 Resampling and variance correction 9
3.2 Relationship between local and large-scale climate changes in ENSEMBLES
simulations 10
3.3 Comparison of large-scale
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
findings from various surveys
and studies, which highlight both the distinctiveness and some shared perspectives at a generalised
level. We reflect upon these in relation to trust and responsibility for climate change action, and risk
communication, supporting the call for discourses about climate change to also be situated in people’s
locality, as a means of increasing its saliency.
1/media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf