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in the data used in making the
decision and the factors are interlinked, all of which makes
the problem highly complex. The part of the net defined by
variables and links is relatively easily communicated to
stakeholders (Henriksen et al., 2007b). However the
tal Management 88 (2008) 1025–1036
quantitative part, with the conditional probability tables
(CPTs), the numbers, is the step where
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
that, the detrended timeseries would have had a net difference of
zero if the negative values had not been set back to zero. This shows that over the 39 years of
data, there was a slight precipitation increase for this grid-point. This trend has been removed,
resulting in a detrended, almost flat dataset.
29
Figure 14. Regression lines for hourly precipitation timeseries of grid-point [100, 100]
from
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
grundvelli myndatöku með
flygildum og leysimælitæki (TLS) hefur verið notað við kortlagningu
flóðfara og við mat á útbreiðslu og umfangi hlaupa.
Þétt net jarðskjálftamæla, sem staðsettir eru á jökulskerjum eða
grafnir í jökul, hefur gefið góða raun við ákvörðun á dýpi jarðskjálfta
undir jöklum. Kvikuhreyfingar hafa þannig verið kortlagðar og
myndun gosrása staðfest af meiri nákvæmni en áður. Þó
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VI_Arsskyrsla_2018_vef.pdf
tg
ui
da
n
ce
fo
rt
ra
ns
bo
un
da
ry
w
at
er
s,
pr
ep
ar
ed
an
d
P. van der Keur et al.
(floo
dmanag
ement
)an
d
wat
er
qualit
y
ag
re
ed
u
po
n
in
co
m
m
o
n
u
n
de
rs
ta
nd
in
g,
creat
ed
th
e
bas
is
fo
rth
e
formul
atio
n
o
f
joi
nt
m
ea
su
re
s
(Fr
ijte
rs
an
d
Le
en
tv
aa
r
200
3)
Mo
del
s
(na
tural
,te
chnica
l
an
d
so
ci
al
sy
ste
m
s):
Uncert
aint
y
ha
s
to
be
incorp
orated
:
1:
Ep
ist
/media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf
stage
)Suppor
t
an
d
ski
lls
n
ee
de
d
Har
e
et
a
l.
(2003
)
X
X
An
aly
se
lin
ks
be
tw
ee
n
participator
y
structur
e
an
d
proces
s
implementatio
n
Ba
rr
et
ea
u
et
a
l.
(2010
)
X
X
X
Pr
o
vid
e
cle
ar
de
sc
rip
tio
n
o
fproces
s
(m
an
ag
e
ex
pe
ct
at
io
n
s);
monitorin
g
an
d
evaluatio
n
Bot
s
an
d
va
n
Daale
n
(2008
)
X
X
X
X
X
Su
pp
o
rt
pr
o
ce
ss
de
sig
n
Ad
ap
te
d
fra
m
ew
o
rk
u
se
d
in
th
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
Delta Change Method
(correction of observed precipitation)
Transformation of precipitation
cont
fut
obsfut M
M
PP =
Observeret n dbør
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1-12-99 11-12-99 21-12-99 31-12-99
Dato
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret
Skal ring af e
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
4
- - - -
t
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret D lta Change
Critical assumption:
Future dynamics = present dynamics
No change in number
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
sr
el
at
ed
to
ag
ric
ul
tu
re
in
D
en
m
ar
k
Cl
im
at
e
ch
an
ge
im
pa
ct
Adaptatio
n
Typ
e
o
f
proble
m
Conse
quenc
e
Ris
k
leve
l
Dom
inatin
g
uncertaint
y
Optio
n
Cos
t
leve
l
Inten
t
Actio
n
Tempora
l
scop
e
Spatia
l
scop
e
Additiona
luncertaint
y
Sou
rc
e
Natur
e
Sourc
e
Natur
e
In
cr
ea
se
d
su
m
m
er
drought
san
d
highe
r
w
at
er
re
qu
ire
m
en
ts
caus
e
by
longe
rcro
p
growt
h
durat
io
n
/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
meðallagi á árinu. Mikið norðanóveður gekk yfir landið dagana 10. til 11. desember sem
olli miklu tjóni. Verst var veðrið á Ströndum, Norðurlandi vestra og Norðurlandi eystra. Mikil ísing og fannfergi fylgdu
óveðrinu sem olli því að hundrað hross fennti í kaf, skemmdir urðu á rafmagnslínum með tilheyrandi rafmagnstruflun-
um og mikil röskun varð á samgöngum.
NÁTTÚRUFAR
Hl
ut
fal
l m
eð
all
ag
s
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_arsskyrsla2020.pdf