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increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
fiord area. Adaptive challenges due to changes in regional groundwater level
An increase in sea level will cause more frequent flooding in the town due to its low lying position by
the fjord. In 2006, the local town hall was flooded when sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal.
Simultaneously, increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
2050s 2080s
C
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g
e
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a
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g
(
%
)
10%
50%
90%
C
h
a
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a
t
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(
%
)
C
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(
%
)
Each bar
shows
range over
whole UK
spatial
area
June 2010 13
Is the impact similar over the
whole UK?
• Changes in the summer minimum rating, i.e.
worst-case conditions – max temperature:
Rating at baseline period 1961
/media/ces/Cradden_Lucy_CES_2010.pdf
Permanent snow
cover
Snow depth
Aug Jun
Maximum snow depth
Accumulative winter precipitation
Number of snow days
(snow depth > 0)
Snow season duration
Introduction Data & Methods Results
Norwegian Meteorological Institute met.no
Simulated
temperature &
precipitation
Observed
snow depth
Time series
• Period I: 1931-60
– 55 stations
• Period II: 1961-90
– 298 stations
• Period III: 1979
/media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf
such as ECMWF. I would like to express my appreciation of the ECMWF Council voting unanimously in favour of Iceland’s accession to the ECMWF Convention on 24 February 2011."
Árni Snorrason: “Since Iceland became a Co-operating State in December 1980, the Icelandic Meteorological Office has been able to make good use of ECMWF’s products, in particular to improve our forecasts. Above all, the Centre’s
/about-imo/news/nr/2142
such as ECMWF. I would like to express my appreciation of the ECMWF Council voting unanimously in favour of Iceland’s accession to the ECMWF Convention on 24 February 2011."
Árni Snorrason: “Since Iceland became a Co-operating State in December 1980, the Icelandic Meteorological Office has been able to make good use of ECMWF’s products, in particular to improve our forecasts. Above all, the Centre’s
/about-imo/news/2011/nr/2142
such as ECMWF. I would like to express my appreciation of the ECMWF Council voting unanimously in favour of Iceland’s accession to the ECMWF Convention on 24 February 2011."
Árni Snorrason: “Since Iceland became a Co-operating State in December 1980, the Icelandic Meteorological Office has been able to make good use of ECMWF’s products, in particular to improve our forecasts. Above all, the Centre’s
/about-imo/news/nr/2142/
such as ECMWF. I would like to express my appreciation of the ECMWF Council voting unanimously in favour of Iceland’s accession to the ECMWF Convention on 24 February 2011."
Árni Snorrason: “Since Iceland became a Co-operating State in December 1980, the Icelandic Meteorological Office has been able to make good use of ECMWF’s products, in particular to improve our forecasts. Above all, the Centre’s
/about-imo/news/2011/nr/2142/
fatalities occurred in
mobile homes,
although only 7.6% of
U.S. housing units in
2000.
• A one standard
deviation in the
proportion of mobile
homes in housing stock
(8.3 percentage
points) increases
fatalities by 36% and
injuries by 18%.
The Mobile Home Problem
50
60
70
80
90
P
e
r
c
e
n
t
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e
o
f
C
a
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g
o
r
y
F
a
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a
l
i
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i
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s
Mobile Homes
0
10
20
30
40
F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5
F
/media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf