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ANNUAL REPOR T 2014
2
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
?Veðurstofa Íslands 2015
Bústaðavegur 7–9, 108 Reykjavík, Iceland
The annual report was drafted by the IMO sta?.
Editor: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir
Design and layout: Hvíta húsið
Printing: Oddi
ISSN 2251-5607
Cover photo: Gro Birkefeldt Møller Pedersen
I N D E X
4 Bárðarbunga
7 Rockslide
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
by season (%) between
1991-2007 and 1961-1990 in the Baltic countries
1
9
0
0
1
9
2
0
1
9
4
0
1
9
6
0
1
9
8
0
2
0
0
0
-
1
5
-
1
0
-
5
0
5
1
0
1
5
P
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c
i
p
i
t
a
t
i
o
n
a
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(
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)
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n
1
R
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i
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2
R
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i
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n
3
R
e
g
i
o
n
4
F
un
c
t
ion
P
lo
t
5
1
9
0
0
1
9
2
0
1
9
4
0
1
9
6
0
1
9
8
0
2
0
0
0
-
1
.
5
-
1
-
0
.
5
0
0
.
5
1
1
.
5
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/media/ces/ces_SA_group_flyer_new.pdf
and water, „we are the only country with
the word „ice“ in its name. I welcome you all, in particular those who have
come from abroad. I hope you have a nice time here in Iceland. I hope you will
feel the warmth here – even though there is little or no volcanic activity
going on as we speak, and even though we worry about a warming world. There is
good warmth and there is bad warmth“ Mr
/about-imo/news/we-need-to-control-our-footprint-on-mother-earth
nostaa,
m utta
oh ijuoksutu
ksia tulee
Sähkönvas tus kasvaa
-> energ iahäv iö ita
Muuntajien
elinikä lyhenee
Jääkannen
m uodostaminen
h idastuu
Very likely,
the
probab ility
that the next
decade is
warmer is
90% .
Ilm iö
1 .1 – korkeammat
läm pötilat etenkin talvella
Skenario
1. Lä mpimäpi i lmasto
O ma luokitteluOma luokit te lu
Nykyiset t ai
tuleva t
varautumiskahdo
llisuudet
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
Email: SR: sahar@hi.is, BH: skykkur@hi.is
In earthquake engineering the estimation of the impact of subsoil characteristics on site effects, and
modeling the distribution of ground motion amplitudes are known as key elements in accurate seismic
hazard assessment programs. Recently, the deployment of Icelandic strong-motion arrays, ICEARRAY
I in the SISZ and ICEARRAY II in the TFZ, has
/media/norsem/norsem_sahar.pdf
E
l
b
e
i
n
D
r
e
s
d
e
n
,
A
p
r
i
l
2
0
0
7
CES conference, Oslo, Norway, 31 May - 2 June 2010
Typical features
• develop slowly,
• become severe when they cover a large region and persist for an
extended period.
E
l
b
e
i
n
D
r
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s
d
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,
A
p
r
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l
2
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7
(
s
p
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e
g
e
l
.
d
e
)
Anne K. Fleig et al. “Regional hydrological droughts and weather types in north
/media/ces/AnneFleig_May2010_CES.pdf
...................................................................................... 31
7 References .................................................................................................. 32
Appendix I - Daily Index flood models for Region 1. .......................................... 35
Appendix II - Daily Index flood models for Region 2. ........................................ 36
Appendix III - Comparison between
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
ANN−10
−5
0
5
10
15
20
delta w (%
)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17C
h
a
n
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e
i
n
g
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o
s
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o
p
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i
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w
i
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s
p
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d
(
%
)
Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling
Chen and Aschberger, 2006
17
CM
IP
G
CM
s
A need for regional ensemble simulations
head2right Changes are uncertain
head2right Size and sometimes even sign
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
and sustainable society. The main vision of the European Plate
Observing System (EPOS) is to address the three basic challenges in Earth Sciences: (i) unravelling the
Earth's deformational processes which are part of the Earth system evolution in time, (ii) understanding
the geo-hazards and their implications to society, and (iii) contributing to the safe and sustainable use
of geo
/media/norsem/norsem_atakan_norway.pdf