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Results:

• 31. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 32. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf

• 33. Perrels-CBA

  operational cost, etc.) and the annual revenues • consider an appropriate discount rate and assess NPV (net present value), IRR (internal rate of return), and net cash flows • rank alternatives by score level • SCBA: social CBA – total benefits -/- total costs for society, in this case benefits and costs often don’t accrue (entirely) to the same organisation due to the public nature of a project /media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf

• 34. VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM

  tg ui da n ce fo rt ra ns bo un da ry w at er s, pr ep ar ed an d P. van der Keur et al. (floo dmanag ement )an d wat er qualit y ag re ed u po n in co m m o n u n de rs ta nd in g, creat ed th e bas is fo rth e formul atio n o f joi nt m ea su re s (Fr ijte rs an d Le en tv aa r 200 3) Mo del s (na tural ,te chnica l an d so ci al sy ste m s): Uncert aint y ha s to be incorp orated : 1: Ep ist /media/loftslag/VanderKeur_etal-2008-Uncertainty_IWRM-WARM.pdf

• 35. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  296 Public Choice (2010) 143: 293–301 2 The commons The literature on the commons, or what is more technically defined as common-pool re- sources (CPRs), should be viewed initially from its place in the larger literature on dilem- mas of collective action. Since the foundational work of H. Scott Gordon (1954) on the com- mons, and Mancur Olson (1965) on collective action more broadly, the behavioral /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 36. Refsgaard_2-uncertainty

  Delta Change Method (correction of observed precipitation) Transformation of precipitation cont fut obsfut M M PP = Observeret n dbør 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 1-12-99 11-12-99 21-12-99 31-12-99 Dato N ed bø r (m m /d ag ) Observeret Skal ring af e 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 4 - - - - t N ed bø r (m m /d ag ) Observeret D lta Change Critical assumption: Future dynamics = present dynamics No change in number /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf

• 37. Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB

  -corrected SPOT 5 high-resolution geometric (HRG) images with 2.5 m 2.5 m spatial resolution, acquired in the autumn 2003 and (4) airborne polarimetric synthetic aperture radar images observed simultaneously to the 1998 EMISAR images and the EMISAR DEM viewed as a shaded relief image (Magnu´sson et al. 2005b). We estimate the average specific net mass balance (in m yr1 w. eq.) as bn r DV A1  N /media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf

• 38. Group4

  ); new long-term investment strategy prioritizing low- or zero-net carbon forms of mobility 2040 Modal shift in logistics chains, especially within heavy industry. 3.3 Backcasting scenario narrative Low-Impact Mobility Project Evaluation (LIMPE) Climate change is occurring. Is it natural or anthropogenic? It doesn’t matter. Even though the future is inherently uncertain, one certainty /media/loftslag/Group4.pdf

• 39. IMO_AnnualReport2014

  of events closely. Photo: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir. Bárðarbunga Pálmi Erlendsson, Bergur H. Bergsson and others installing GPS and com- munication equipment. Photos: Þorgils Ingvarsson and Benedikt G. Ófeigsson. I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 5 The magma intrusion from Bárðarbunga to the eruption site at Holuhraun and related tremor pulses /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf

• 40. ces-oslo2010_proceedings

  anomalies of the WTs during the periods leading up to the five most severe droughts as compared to the average frequency of a given WT for the same period of the year over the entire data record. A period equal to dreg preceding the drought plus the 20 first days of the drought was used. All WTs with a net positive frequency anomaly over the five events were considered to be associated /media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf