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• 41. VI_2013_008

  interval 100(1 p)% of the time, on av- erage. A comparison between Tables 2 and 3 indicates that the spread of the ensemble forecast is reduced when rescaling is applied. This means that the probabilistic forecast becomes sharper after rescaling, without losing any reliability. In other words, rescaling leads to a better proba- bilistic forecast. As the forecast range increases, so does the spread /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf