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separately for each calendar month at
four grid points, are depicted in Fig. 5. There are a number of cases in which the proba-
bility of the change exceeds 75% or even 90%. Among these, the decline of insolation in
eastern Finland (Fig. 5(d)) in April and November appears to have the highest probability.
Fig. 5. Monthly probability distributions for the percentage change of incident solar radiation from
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf
of the figure. The diagrams show the 2.5%, 5%,
10%, 25%, 50%, 75%, 90%, 95% and 97.5% quantiles of the probability distributions, separately for
the four decades 2011-2020, 2021-2030, 2031-2040 and 2041-2050. The two numbers on the bottom
of each panel give the median estimate of the change relative to the baseline 1971-2000 (in ºC for
temperature and in per cent for precipitation), and the probability
/media/ces/raisanen_ruosteenoja_CES_D2.2.pdf
-fraction of the first and last year of reanalysis as given by the regression line.
In all the catchments, the trend lines give decreasing snow-fraction, from -1.5% (Hálslón) to -
14.6% (Búðarháls). Two trends can be observed in the plot for catchment Búðarháls: one for
the period 1979 – 2000, with a mean value around 75%, and one after 2000, with a mean
value in the high 60%. Overall, the snow
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
). The surface area of the fiord is approximately 46 km2
and the mean depth is 2.9 m besides a narrow shipping channel with a depth between 7 and 22 m. The
catchment area is 517 km2 and dominated by agriculture (75%) with small areas of forests, wetlands,
lakes and urban areas. The annual freshwater input is in the order of 100 Mm3, where approximately
70% is channelled through two main creaks
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
). The surface area of the fiord is approximately 46 km2
and the mean depth is 2.9 m besides a narrow shipping channel with a depth between 7 and 22 m. The
catchment area is 517 km2 and dominated by agriculture (75%) with small areas of forests, wetlands,
lakes and urban areas. The annual freshwater input is in the order of 100 Mm3, where approximately
70% is channelled through two main creaks
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
a narrow shipping channel with a depth between 7 and 22 m. The
catchment area is 517 km2 and dominated by agriculture (75%) with small areas of forests, wetlands,
lakes and urban areas. The annual freshwater input is in the order of 100 Mm3, where approximately
70% is channelled through two main creaks Bygholm å and Hansted å, located in the inner part of the
fjord. Several smaller streams
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
-6
0
60
-6
5
65
-7
0
70
-7
5
75
-8
0
Nedbørsintensitet (mm/dag)
A
n
ta
l h
æ
n
d
el
se
r
RCM Delta Change Direkte
0
10
20
30
40
50
30
-3
5
35
-4
0
40
-4
5
45
-5
0
50
-5
5
55
-6
0
60
-6
5
65
-7
0
70
-7
5
75
-8
0
A
nt
al
h
æ
nd
el
se
r
Future
climate
Down
scaling
Bias
correction
Global
100-250 km Scale
Regional
10-25 km
Hydrological
50-500 m
Present
climate
Climate change impacts on hydrology
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
and autumn.
The increase of annual glacier melt, assuming unchanged glacier geometry, is predicted to
be in the range from 75–150% depending on scenario. This leads to a late summer
discharge maximum caused by increased glacier runoff. The discharge peaks caused by
snowmelt and glacier melt will become more distinct and appear as two separate summer
maxima with the one caused by glacier melt
/media/ces/2010_016.pdf
balance data from all the ice caps.
REFERENCES
Björnsson, H., Pálsson F., Guðmundsson M. T. and Haraldsson H. 1998. Mass
balance of western and northern Vatnajökull, Iceland, 1991–1995, Jökull, 45,
35–58.
Björnsson, H., Pálsson F. and Haraldsson H. 2002. Mass balance of Vatnajökull
(1991–2001) and Langjökull (1996–2001), Iceland. Jökull, 51, 75–78.
Bromwich, D. H., Bai L. and Bjarnason G. G. 2005
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_91.pdf
of the eruption column reached 3.1 km above Dyngjusandur, while the base of the aerosol-laden lower part of the plume reached ~1.4 km above the sand plain. Photo: Morten S. Riishuus.
The lava extent is now just over 75 km², see map. For comparison, outlines based on a satellite image since 25.11. are given and the northern outline based on fieldwork 27.11. Institute of Earth Sciences.
1
/earthquakes-and-volcanism/articles/nr/3055