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Results:

• 31. VI_2020_004

  .................... 85 8 Figure 57 50% PM10 probability map for an eruption like 1362 at Öræfajökull ..................... 86 Figure 58 The probability of exceedance curve at key locations (Öræfajökull) ...................... 87 Figure 59 Tephra accumulation rate on the ground on 7 May 1982 (Öræfajökull) ................. 88 Figure 60 Tephra accumulation rate on the ground on 5 May 1981 (Öræfajökull /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_004.pdf

• 32. 2010_005_

  which are significantly lower com- pared with similar beginning and end years. Consequently, for the 2004–50 period, the average RCM warming rates of 0.29 K per decade over the ocean, and 0.35 K per decade over the land are somewhat larger than for the reduced IPCC ensemble mean. Additionally, the tabulated values of SAT differences between the 1961–90 control period and either the 2021–50 /media/ces/2010_005_.pdf

• 33. VI_2015_009

  J600v berg 2.utg) were also used in this study. Table 1. Main characteristics of river basins used in this study. River Name Type Area Mean Percentage Mean annual Period / (km2) elevation glacier precipitation for Gauging (m a.s.l) (mm) streamflow station (1961-2014) data vhm59 Ytri-Rangá L 622 365 0 1564 1961–2014 vhm64 Ölfusá L+D+J+S 5687 480 12.2 2003 1950–2014 vhm66 Hvítá (Borgarfirði) L+J 1577 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 34. VI_2020_008

  /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_008.pdf

• 35. VI_2009_006_tt

  to theoretical framework. I do also want to thank him for an enjoyable time during this work, both in the office and in the field. This work was carried out as a part of the Skaftá cauldrons research project which was funded and supported by the Icelandic Centre For Research (RANNÍS), Kvískerja- sjóður, the NASA Astrobiology Institute, Landsvirkjun (the National Power Com- pany), the National Energy /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf

• 36. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  and possibly the stake- holders at different phases of the modelling project. Many QA guidelines exist such as Middlemis (2000) and Van Waveren et al. (1999). The HarmoniQuA project (Schol- ten et al., 2007; Refsgaard et al., 2005a) has developed a com- prehensive set of QA guidelines for multiple modelling domains combined with a supporting software tool, MoST (downloadable via http /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 37. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 38. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf

• 39. BIKF_windrose_2005-2014

  45 90 135 180 225 270 315 360 N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 33 2 55 2 79 5 88 3 64 2 42 2 49 4 59 5 52 5 38 3 42 1 40 4 41 0 55 3 63 5 55 6 47 5 39 3 34 6 31 3 33 9 33 9 36 6 48 8 53 9 52 6 47 5 33 6 22 3 19 0 16 4 13 0 9 6 11 6 12 0 15 4 Wind rose BIKF April 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 /media/vedur/BIKF_windrose_2005-2014.pdf

• 40. BIVM_windrose_2005-2014

  N E S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 114 8 128 7 84 9 36 1 26 0 13 9 24 3 65 4 136 4 250 3 366 4 298 8 189 6 146 9 99 9 160 6 111 5 83 5 86 1 86 4 80 0 82 6 92 4 96 3 97 5 124 9 109 5 127 7 122 4 115 3 88 0 61 9 52 3 55 3 96 0 109 9 Wind rose BIVM January 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 /media/vedur/BIVM_windrose_2005-2014.pdf