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  • 11. Risk Assessments

    riskianalyysit - ilmaston muutoksen synnyttämät riskit ja mahdollisuudet. 12.03.2009, Research Report VTT-R-01942-09, Tampere. 13 p. + app. 24 p. Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Test and evaluation of a climate risk assessment procedure. Case study: The Norwegian hydro power company SFE. CICERO, University of Oslo. Report 2009:3. Feb.2009. 44 p. ISSN:0804-4562. Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Climate change /ces/publications/nr/1941
  • 12. ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report

    ) is shown. At the margin the grid boxes of the RCAO RCM are visible. The area between Illulisat and Swiss camp is commonly called Paakitsôq. respectively. The Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) Swiss Camp and Crawford are located on the ice sheet and are operated by the Greenland Climate Network (GC-net) (Steffen and Box, 2001). The locations of the stations are indicated in Fig. 1, further details /media/ces/ces_geus_paakitsoq_full_report.pdf
  • 13. Machguth_Horst_CES_2010

    experiments with different RCM’s • explore RCM biases • apply a different mass balance model data 2 RCM’s • HIRHAM4, Scenario A1B, 25 km, 1950-2100, Greenland • RCAO, Scenario A1B, 50 km, 1960-2100, Pan-Arctic 4 Weather Stations (Ta, Sin) • GC-Net Swiss Camp: 1150 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • GC-Net Crawford: 2020 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • Asiaq Station 437: 300 m a.s.l. (1983 – 2006) • DMI Illulisat /media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
  • 14. Traffc-maintenance_expenditures

    047 13 903 11 197 - - - 522 610 1 406 449 1980 42 409 153 761 14 024 212 220 - 5 257 17 816 10 410 9 234 - - - 465 133 1 420 546 Manage- Basic Purchase Road Road net- Const- Acquisi- Govern- Com- Participati- Value Miscel- Total 2009 ment and road of equip- system work post- ruction tion of ment missi- on of the added laneous cost operating manage- ment develop- poned-, of land /media/loftslag/Traffc-maintenance_expenditures.pdf
  • 15. Perrels-CBA

    (CBA can be subset of SCBA) • CEA: cost-effectiveness analysis – this is used if for (a part of) the intended impacts no (shadow) price can be established (or when that is contentious) 26.8.2011Adriaan Perrels/IL 9 Cost-benefit analysis – the basics 2 • Metrics: • Net present value (NPV) : • Internal Rate of Return (IRR): r = r* such that NPV = 0 • Benefit-Cost Ratio (B/C ratio): • Macro /media/loftslag/Perrels-CBA.pdf
  • 16. CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction

    of climate change on the routine and periodic maintenance of roads. Helsinki 2009. Finnish Road Administration, Central Administration. Finnra reports 8/2009, 66 p. + app. 8 p. ISSN 1459-1553, ISBN 978-952-221-172-9, TIEH 3201122-v. (in Finnish, abstract in English) [5] Salanne, i., Byring, B., Valli, R., Tikkanen, R., Peltonen, P., Haapala, J., Jylhä, K., Tolonen-Kivimäki, O., and Tuomenvirta, H /media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
  • 17. Eyjafjallajokull_status_2010-05-07_IES_IMO

    recorded at 5-13 km depth, but fewer than yesterday. GPS deformation: Measurements from around Eyjafjallajökull indicate no major net discplaceaments, suggesting a stabilization of the surface deformation since yesterday. Other remarks: Grainsize analysis of samples taken of ash that fell on May 3rd at 64 km distance from the eruption site shows that about 5 % of the ash is smaller /media/jar/Eyjafjallajokull_status_2010-05-07_IES_IMO.pdf
  • 18. James-Smith_Edward_CES_2010

    opportunity evaluation Case studies NOE Net SEAS-NVE Findings of case studies • Distribution companies generally well equipped for climate change – Cabling of all overhead lines well under way – Distribution boxes in areas with increased risk of flooding are elevated already – Salt spray further inland is becoming an increasing problem for substations and transformers Cabling in Denmark /media/ces/James-Smith_Edward_CES_2010.pdf
  • 19. GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen

    ). Meteorological observations carried out on Storbreen in the summer of 1955 (Liestøl1967) revealed that net radiation is the most impor-tant contributor to the ablation at Storbreen. An au-tomatic weather station (AWS) has bee operatedin the ablation zone of Storbreen since September2001 providing a near-continuous series of meteor- ology and surface energy balance data. Analysis ofthe first five years /media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
  • 20. IPPC-2007-ar4_syr

    data, models or analyses, then the following scale of confidence levels is used to express the assessed chance of a finding being correct: very high confidence at least 9 out of 10; high confidence about 8 out of 10; medium confidence about 5 out of 10; low confidence about 2 out of 10; and very low confidence less than 1 out of 10. Where uncertainty in specific outcomes is assessed using expert /media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf

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