Forsíðumynd: Svava Björk Þorláksdóttir mælir með öldustilli
niður á festur í Iðu í Hvítá. Ljósmynd: Njáll Fannar Reynisson.
V E Ð U R S T O F A Í S L A N D S / Á R S S K Ý R S L A 2 0 1 8
3
Viðburðaríkt ár er að baki
hjá starfsfólki Veðurstofunnar
enda felast jafnan margar og
fjöl breyttar áskoranir í vöktun
og rannsóknum á náttúru -
öflum landsins.
Loftslagsmál eru mjög á
döfinni enda stærsta
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VI_Arsskyrsla_2018_vef.pdf
et al. (2010)
von Korff et al. (2010)
Methods:
Hare et al. (2006)
Hare et al. (2005)
Kaner (2007)
Lunch
13:30 - 15:00 Scenario development - an introduction to
concepts, methods and tools
KK Kok and Veldkamp (2011)
Kok et al. (2011)
Kok (2009)
Kok and van Delden (2009)
15:00 - 16:30 Risk perception LE Lorenzoni and Pidgeon (2006)
Stern (2000)
Coffee
16:30 - 18:00 PhD
/media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
that, the detrended timeseries would have had a net difference of
zero if the negative values had not been set back to zero. This shows that over the 39 years of
data, there was a slight precipitation increase for this grid-point. This trend has been removed,
resulting in a detrended, almost flat dataset.
29
Figure 14. Regression lines for hourly precipitation timeseries of grid-point [100, 100]
from
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Baker, M., S. Hincks, and G. Sherriff. 2010. Getting
involved in plan making: participation and
stakeholder involvement in local and regional
spatial strategies in England. Environment and
Planning C: Government and Policy 28
(4):574-594.
Biggs, R., C. Raudsepp-Hearne, C. Atkinson-
Palombo, E. Bohensky, E. Boyd, G. Cundill, H. Fox,
S. Ingram, K. Kok, S. Spehar, M
/media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
and taking a long-term view (see e.g. [2]).
Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835–851
Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: kasper.kok@wur.nl (K. Kok), lasut@iiasa.ac.at (I. Bärlund), lasut@iiasa.ac.at (A. Dubel), ilona.baerlund@ufz.de (J. Sendzimir).
0040-1625/$ – see front matter ? 2011 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2011.01.004
Contents lists
/media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
scenario
development, with an example from Brazil
Kasper Kok *
Land Dynamics, Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, The Netherlands
1. Introduction
The world is undergoing rapid changes while globalising
constantly, which gives the consideration of the future new
urgency and importance. Scenario development has emerged as a
key method when taking
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf
-
risk management - Part 2
Eriksson
Exercise work - how to
combine into a general
adaptive management
framework
PhD students
10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee
11:00 - 12:45
Stakeholder involvement
methodologies - Part 1
Hare
Exercise work
PhD students
Scenario building
methodologies - Part 2
Kok
Uncertainty - concepts and
tools - Part 2
Refsgaard
Case in adaptive
management
/media/vedurstofan/NONAM-PhD_program.pdf
of adaptive
management in relation to climate change
adaptation
• To introduce students to tools and methodologies in
topics of importance for adaptive management
– scenario development
– stakeholder involvement
– risk perception
– uncertainty assessments
– socio-economics
Multidisciplinary
Teachers
• Kasper Kok, Wageningen University, The
Netherlands
• Louise Eriksson, Umeå University
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf