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Results:

• 11. VI_2015_005

  This is also the case with cyclones in all three sectors. Cyclones in the eastern or western sector are also strongly affected by the presence of central cyclones. In both sectors, cyclones tend to move east, unless there are cyclones in the neighbouring sector, in which case pressure tendencies are reversed. 21 Figure 10. Composite mean temporal MSLP tendencies, for different MSLP modes. Com- posite mean /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_005.pdf

• 12. VI_2015_009

  by rescaling a dimensionless regional flood frequency distribution or growth curve, qR(D;T ), com- mon to all sites of the homogeneous region, with the so-called index flood, µi(D), of the target site: bQi(D;T ) = µi(D)qR(D;T ); (1) where bQi(D;T ) is the estimated flood quantile, i.e. the T -year flood peak discharge averaged over duration D, at site i. The regional growth curve, qR(D;T /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 13. VI_2013_008

  systematically underestimated. The bias is not as pronounced for the non glacial rivers. Com- bining synoptic-scale and basin-scale predictors (method 3) leads to a substantial improvement compared to the use of MSLP fields alone (method 1). Analogue forecasts become similar or better than persistence, depending on catchment and lead time. Usually, persistence performs better for T=1 day and then method 3 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf