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Results:

• 31. VI_2013_008

  systematically underestimated. The bias is not as pronounced for the non glacial rivers. Com- bining synoptic-scale and basin-scale predictors (method 3) leads to a substantial improvement compared to the use of MSLP fields alone (method 1). Analogue forecasts become similar or better than persistence, depending on catchment and lead time. Usually, persistence performs better for T=1 day and then method 3 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf

• 32. VI_2014_006

  the com- plexity of the hydrological processes through modelling, but its application is usually limited to the short-range. Although the results demonstrated a great potential for this method, its success- ful application in real-time will strongly depend on the quality and availability of streamflow observations, which can be poor or simply missing during periods of variable durations, e.g /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf

• 33. VI_2013_006

  <6h <12h <24h Total Grímsvötn 1998-12-18 09:20 2 h 0 1 20 121 167 183 Hekla 2000-02-26 18:17 41 min 1 4 6 6 6 6 Grímsvötn 2004-11-01 21:50 4 h 0 0 15 59 142 251 Fimmvörðuháls 2010-03-20 23:34 - 0 0 0 0 0 0 Eyjafjallajökull 2010-04-14 01:15 17 h 0 0 0 0 10 790 Grímsvötn 2011-05-21 19:00 15 min 888 3340 6484 11729 16041 16195 9 The monitoring system There are two main parts /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_006.pdf