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systematically underestimated. The bias is not as pronounced for the non glacial rivers. Com-
bining synoptic-scale and basin-scale predictors (method 3) leads to a substantial improvement
compared to the use of MSLP fields alone (method 1). Analogue forecasts become similar or
better than persistence, depending on catchment and lead time. Usually, persistence performs
better for T=1 day and then method 3/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
volume towards a new steady state of the glacier in the case of a “moderate” step change
in climate.
The relative importance of the mass-balance–elevation feedback and the reduction in ice-
covered area may be analysed with reference to the perturbation equation
d(DV )
dt
= B0+beDA+GeDV = B
0
DV
tV
; (3)
where the volume time-scale tV is given by
tV =
1
( be=H) Ge
; (4)
(Harrison and others, 2001
/media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
Christian Huesmann 1, Sophie Rotter 3, Claudia Pahl-Wostl 1,
Karina Speil 3, and Wiebke Pohl 1
ABSTRACT. New regulatory water management requirements on an international level increasingly
challenge the capacity of regional water managers to adapt. Stakeholder participation can contribute to
dealing with these challenges because it facilitates the incorporation of various forms of knowledge
/media/loftslag/Daniell_etal-2010.pdf