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a common understanding of the possible
future developments, the risk assessment framework is best
carried out in brainstorming-based sessions
square4 risks/ opportunities are examined mainly from two perspectives:
square4 how risks/ opportunities are connected to the power plants'
functions
square4 how they occur seasonally
702/07/2010
Tools for data collection – Seasonal plan
square4
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
to
improve the quality of our services to society and enable us to forecast
extreme weather events and changes in their occurrences.Ultimately, it is a challenge for society to make the best of that
information in terms of adaptation to the risks.Árni Snorrason, Director
General, Icelandic Meteorological officeJuhani Damski, Director
General, Finnish Meteorological InstituteKristaps
/about-imo/news/cooperation-is-a-must-for-adaptation-to-and-mitigation-of-climate-change
the safety
of the local population.Outlines of the December landslides in Seyðisfjörður, eastern
Iceland.Risk
assessment to be reviewed and safety to be improvedLandslide
hazards originate from different heights on the slopes above the southern part
of Seyðisfjörður. The best known hazardous areas are under Strandartindur,
where landslides have previously caused damage
to settlements on the coast
/about-imo/news/the-landslide-in-seydisfjordur-is-the-largest-landslide-to-have-damaged-an-urban-area-in-iceland
the safety
of the local population.Outlines of the December landslides in Seyðisfjörður, eastern
Iceland.Risk
assessment to be reviewed and safety to be improvedLandslide
hazards originate from different heights on the slopes above the southern part
of Seyðisfjörður. The best known hazardous areas are under Strandartindur,
where landslides have previously caused damage
to settlements on the coast
/about-imo/news/the-landslide-in-seydisfjordur-is-the-largest-landslide-to-have-damaged-an-urban-area-in-iceland/
Acceptability of policy
Louise Eriksson
Department of Social and Economic Geography
Umeå University
Overview
1. Definitions
2. Acceptability of policy
3. Behavioural responses to policy
4. Responses to policy – concluding comments
2
(1) Climate change – a social
dilemma
• Choice between self-interest (defection) and the collective’s
best interest (cooperation)
• Conflict between the individual
/media/loftslag/Eriksson_2-Acceptability-of-policy.pdf
probability
Vulnerability
Value (material,
people)
Injuries
Resiliency
Risk assessment
Risk = function (hazard, vulnerability, value)
Protection goals / Risk acceptance
Unacceptable risk Acceptable risk
Voluntary adaption/mitigation
Commercial/individual insurance
isdr has
defined response
and risk management
in some detail
Planning measures
Minimization of risk through best possible
Management
/media/loftslag/Karlsdottir-Risk_analysis_IMO_SK.pdf
WaSiM-ETH (Schulla and Jasper, 2007; Atladóttir et al.,
2011; Þórarinsdóttir, 2012) was calibrated on 4 gauged catchments (vhm19, vhm38, vhm51
and vhm52). A semi-automatic multi-objective optimization based on the analysis of discharge
information was used to assist in the selection of best model parameters for each catchment
(Crochet, 2012d). The model was then used to simulate daily streamflow
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_001.pdf
and our intention is to run these models dur-
ing times of hazardous events and even on a daily
basis to further improve monitoring.
Avalanche monitoring has progressed. The em-
phasis is now on improving our services, especially
to the Icelandic Road and Coastal Administration
with regard to transport. The reason is that com-
munity structure has changed considerably in recent
years and the need
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
level in Skeidará waned. The last sign of a
crater explosion was seen at GRF early on 6
November, leaving only a weak tremor signal
from the remnants of the jökulhlaup. The
jökulhlaup fi nally ended in early December,
after ~0.8 km3 of water had drained from the
Grímsvötn lake (J. Hardardóttir, personal com-
munication, 2005).
Location and Volume Constraints
Earthquake locations at Grímsvötn
/media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
greater demands on stakeholders, because they
must monitor decisions and the decision-making process over
the time of the life of the project
– Because decisions are always tentative, it may also increase or
extend controversy and conflict
– It may require trading the anticipated best outcome in the
short term for long-term learning and improvement
Discussion (2) When is adaptive
management
/media/loftslag/Henriksen-AM.pdf