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in Askja
8 Projects
9 The weather in Iceland 2014
10 Finance
11 Sta?publications
I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4
3
One of the main goals of the merger of the Hydrological Service,
HS, and the Icelandic Meteorological Office, IMO, was to improve
the capabilities regarding monitoring, warnings and emergency
response due to natural hazards. Prior
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf
lying areas in the City is illustrated for present climate in Figure 5. It is
expected that the future water level of the Horsens fiord will increase by 1 meter by the end of this
century.
Station 270045: Upstream Lake Nørrestrand
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
M
ea
n
d
is
ch
ar
g
e
(m
3 /
s)
Present: Mean A2: Mean
Station 280001: Upstream Bygholm Lake
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
............................................................................................................... 8
PAST AND PRESENT CHANGES IN CLIMATE AND HYDROLOGY
Dyrrdal, A.V., Vikhamar-Schuler, D., Stranden, H.B. and Skaugen, T.
Analysis of past snow conditions in Norway – Time periods 1931-60, 1961-90 and 1979-08 ............................. 10
Crochet, P.
Impacts of historic climate variations on streamflow characteristics in Icelandic rivers
/media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf
-corrected SPOT 5
high-resolution geometric (HRG) images with 2.5 m
2.5 m spatial resolution, acquired in the autumn 2003
and (4) airborne polarimetric synthetic aperture radar
images observed simultaneously to the 1998 EMISAR
images and the EMISAR DEM viewed as a shaded
relief image (Magnu´sson et al. 2005b).
We estimate the average specific net mass balance (in
m yr1 w. eq.) as
bn r
DV
A1 N
/media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf
bursts of
seismic tremor (1–3 Hz), and later becoming
periodic with energy between 2 and 8 Hz. After
18 October, seismicity increased to three events
per day (Figure 2b). Synchronous with this
increase, the ISGPS station SKRO (Figure 1b)
moved 9 mm westward over the following eight
days, and returned to its original position on 1
November (Figure 2c), suggesting subsurface
magma movement
/media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
a systematic com-
parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un-
dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at
days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the
occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non-
resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed
and simulated precipitation are often
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
be broader than stated? (7) Further
elicit and specify the distribution (shape and percentiles or
characterising parameters). (8) Verify with the expert that
the distribution that you constructed from the expert’s re-
sponses correctly represents the expert’s beliefs. (9) Decide
whether or not to aggregate the distributions elicited from dif-
ferent experts (this only makes sense if the experts
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
recorded at 5-13 km depth, but fewer than
yesterday.
GPS deformation: Measurements from around Eyjafjallajökull indicate no major net
discplaceaments, suggesting a stabilization of the surface deformation
since yesterday.
Other remarks: Grainsize analysis of samples taken of ash that fell on May 3rd at 64
km distance from the eruption site shows that about 5 % of the ash is
smaller
/media/jar/Eyjafjallajokull_status_2010-05-07_IES_IMO.pdf
opportunity evaluation
Case studies
NOE Net
SEAS-NVE
Findings of case studies
• Distribution companies generally well
equipped for climate change
– Cabling of all overhead lines well under way
– Distribution boxes in areas with increased risk of
flooding are elevated already
– Salt spray further inland is becoming an increasing
problem for substations and transformers
Cabling in Denmark
/media/ces/James-Smith_Edward_CES_2010.pdf
regimes of
Number of flood and drought disasters in the past
decades per case study
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1977-1986 1987-1996 1997-2006
Time period
Total number of flood and
drought disaster
s
Rivierenland
Alentejo
Upper Tisza - Hungary
Upper Tisza - Ukraine
Fig. 1 Number of reported flood and drought disasters in the past
decades in Rivierenland, Alentejo, Hungarian part of Upper Tisza,
and Ukrainian
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf