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Results:

• 21. VI_2013_008

  systematically underestimated. The bias is not as pronounced for the non glacial rivers. Com- bining synoptic-scale and basin-scale predictors (method 3) leads to a substantial improvement compared to the use of MSLP fields alone (method 1). Analogue forecasts become similar or better than persistence, depending on catchment and lead time. Usually, persistence performs better for T=1 day and then method 3 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf