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is that it cannot forecast a value lower or larger than recorded in
the archive. In order to allow the forecast to exceed these limits, three strategies were tested for
rescaling the forecasted streamflow, according to observed streamflow conditions up to current
time t:
Q(i; t+T ) = liQ(ui+T ) (7)
Q(i; t+T ) = giQ(ui+T ) (8)
Q(i; t+T ) = aiQb(ui+T )+bi
Q(ui+T ) Qb(ui+T )
(9)
where li =
Q(t)
Q(ui)
, gi =
E/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
the results for all catchments, with
that method. The deterministic predictions were also compared to two benchmark determinis-
tic predictions, i) monthly climate in the period 1961–2000, i.e. F(t0 +D) = E[A(M)], and ii)
persistence, i.e. F(t0 +D) = A(t0), where F is the forecast and A the observation or analysis.
Figures 5 to 8 present the scatter plots of observed temperature and precipitation versus
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
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Initial proposal 12 Catalogue of measures
Testing & revision 12 Revised catalogue of measures
Decision-making 2 Published catalogue of measures
*Objective Verifiable Indicators: the quantitative, qualitative, and time-bound measures that constitute evidence
/media/loftslag/Group5-Stakeholders_involvement.pdf