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  • 31. VI_2013_008

    is that it cannot forecast a value lower or larger than recorded in the archive. In order to allow the forecast to exceed these limits, three strategies were tested for rescaling the forecasted streamflow, according to observed streamflow conditions up to current time t: Q(i; t+T ) = liQ(ui+T ) (7) Q(i; t+T ) = giQ(ui+T ) (8) Q(i; t+T ) = aiQb(ui+T )+bi Q(ui+T ) Qb(ui+T ) (9) where li = Q(t) Q(ui) , gi = E /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
  • 32. VI_2014_006

    the results for all catchments, with that method. The deterministic predictions were also compared to two benchmark determinis- tic predictions, i) monthly climate in the period 1961–2000, i.e. F(t0 +D) = E[A(M)], and ii) persistence, i.e. F(t0 +D) = A(t0), where F is the forecast and A the observation or analysis. Figures 5 to 8 present the scatter plots of observed temperature and precipitation versus /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
  • 33. Forecasts - Kjalarnes

    % Wed 3.05 00 GMT 4° E 7 Cloud cover: 100% 01 GMT 3° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 02 GMT 3° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 03 GMT 3° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 04 GMT 3° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 05 GMT 3° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 06 GMT 4° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 07 GMT 4° E 8 Cloud cover: 100% 08 GMT 5° E 7 Cloud cover: 100% 09 GMT 5° E 8 /m/forecasts/areas
  • 34. Observations - Akrafjall

    ° ENE 8 Max wind : 10 / 16Road temp. : 8.1° 20 GMT 2.4° ENE 9 Max wind : 9 / 14Road temp. : 10.9° 19 GMT 4.0° ENE 7 Max wind : 8 / 12Road temp. : 13.6° 18 GMT 5.5° E 7 Max wind : 8 / 12Road temp. : 15.4° 17 GMT 6.4° E 7 Max wind : 7 / 12Road temp. : 17.0° 16 GMT 6.8° E 8 Max wind : 8 / 15Road temp. : 17.2° 15 GMT 6.6° E 8 Max wind : 8 / 13Road /m/observations/areas
  • 35. Group5-Stakeholders_involvement

    E . g . 8 0 % qu e s t i onn a i r es to pu b l i c re t urne d a n d p r o c e s s ed a t t h e e nd o f t h e phase Initial proposal 12 Catalogue of measures Testing & revision 12 Revised catalogue of measures Decision-making 2 Published catalogue of measures *Objective Verifiable Indicators: the quantitative, qualitative, and time-bound measures that constitute evidence /media/loftslag/Group5-Stakeholders_involvement.pdf

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