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  • 21. Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2

    Kasper Kok – Wageningen University, the Netherlands NONAM PhD course - Copenhagen, 22-26 August 2011 Scenario development Concept and examples Scenario development in two lectures Lecture 1 – Monday 22 August, 13:00-14:15 Background, overarching issues, concepts, definitions, tools • Complex Systems • Tools and methods to analyse complex systems • Scenarios Lecture 2 – Wednesday 24 August, 10:15 /media/loftslag/Kok_2-scenarios-lecture-2.pdf
  • 22. NONAM-PhD_program

    - risk management - Part 2 Eriksson Exercise work - how to combine into a general adaptive management framework PhD students 10:45 - 11:00 Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee Coffee 11:00 - 12:45 Stakeholder involvement methodologies - Part 1 Hare Exercise work PhD students Scenario building methodologies - Part 2 Kok Uncertainty - concepts and tools - Part 2 Refsgaard Case in adaptive management /media/vedurstofan/NONAM-PhD_program.pdf
  • 23. VI_2015_005

    This is also the case with cyclones in all three sectors. Cyclones in the eastern or western sector are also strongly affected by the presence of central cyclones. In both sectors, cyclones tend to move east, unless there are cyclones in the neighbouring sector, in which case pressure tendencies are reversed. 21 Figure 10. Composite mean temporal MSLP tendencies, for different MSLP modes. Com- posite mean /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_005.pdf
  • 24. Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling

    support ) Improv e mode l (integration) ; socia llea rnin g Farmers ,loca l aut horities , association s NO P IN D Cognitiv e mappin g HE T GM B NO P HE T Simulation - by-han d OT :Researcher s KA F F Iska r (Phas e1 ) Co n ce pt u al m o de l (D is cu ss io n su pp o rt ; Com m unication ) Improv e mode l (integration) ; socia llea rnin g Nationa l poli cy-maker s NO P IN D Cognitiv e mappin g HE /media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf
  • 25. Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006

    level, surveys commissioned by the European Com- munity/the European Union provide an indication of trends in concern about cli- mate change. Since 1992, such surveys have been undertaken among representative samples of citizens in its Member States, and specifically on topics related to the environment (Special Eurobarometers (EB) in 1992, 1995, 2002; and a Flash EB in 2002). These have included /media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf
  • 26. Refsgaard_1-Welcome

    of adaptive management in relation to climate change adaptation • To introduce students to tools and methodologies in topics of importance for adaptive management – scenario development – stakeholder involvement – risk perception – uncertainty assessments – socio-economics  Multidisciplinary Teachers • Kasper Kok, Wageningen University, The Netherlands • Louise Eriksson, Umeå University /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_1-Welcome.pdf
  • 27. VI_2016_006_rs

    Such landslides fall from a comparatively high elevation, cause extensive disruption and upheaval of loose materials and soils in their way, and can travel considerable distances uphill against opposing slopes. Secondly, there are medium-sized or large, rapid debris flows that are released from com- paratively high elevations and are confined to gullies as they travel down the mountain- side, similar /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2016/VI_2016_006_rs.pdf
  • 28. VI_2019_009

    To distinguish between rain and snow, the volume is com- pared to the water equivalent but the volume of snow is ten times larger. Figure 1. How PWD22 determines the type of precipitation. Using the information about the changes of the backscatter signal, water equivalent and temper- ature the Vaisala Present Weather Detector can give information about the type of precipitation. It is also used /media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2019/VI_2019_009.pdf
  • 29. 2013_001_Nawri_et_al

  • 30. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    development: Experiences from the SCENES project Kasper Kok a,, Mathijs van Vliet a, Ilona Bärlund c, Anna Dubel b, Jan Sendzimir b a Wageningen University, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands b International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Schlossplaz 1, A-2361 Laxenburg, Austria c Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Brückstrasse 3a, 39114 Magdeburg, Germany a r t i c /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf

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