); new long-term investment strategy prioritizing low- or zero-net carbon forms of
mobility
2040 Modal shift in logistics chains, especially within heavy industry.
3.3 Backcasting scenario narrative
Low-Impact Mobility Project Evaluation (LIMPE)
Climate change is occurring. Is it natural or anthropogenic? It doesn’t matter. Even
though the future is inherently uncertain, one certainty
/media/loftslag/Group4.pdf
1998] and RCM output such
as incoming and outgoing, short- and long-wave radiation,
temperature, water vapor pressure, and wind speed:
ETref ¼
0:408D Rn Gð Þ þ g 900T þ 273 u2 es eað Þ
Dþ g 1þ 0:34u2ð Þ ð3Þ
where ETref is reference evapotranspiration (mm d1), Rn is
net radiation at the crop surface (MJ m2 d1), G is soil heat
flux density (MJ m2 d1), T is mean daily air temperature
at 2 m
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf
that, the detrended timeseries would have had a net difference of
zero if the negative values had not been set back to zero. This shows that over the 39 years of
data, there was a slight precipitation increase for this grid-point. This trend has been removed,
resulting in a detrended, almost flat dataset.
29
Figure 14. Regression lines for hourly precipitation timeseries of grid-point [100, 100]
from
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2022/VI_2022_006_extreme.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
fiord area. Adaptive challenges due to changes in regional groundwater level
An increase in sea level will cause more frequent flooding in the town due to its low lying position by
the fjord. In 2006, the local town hall was flooded when sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal.
Simultaneously, increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
NONAM PhD course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
1
Outline for the case Road maintenance in a changing climate
Introduction
Roads and transport systems are vulnerable to climate change impacts (VTT 2011; Koetse and
Rietveld, 2009; Regmi & Hanaoka, 2011; Road ERA-net 2009 & 2010
/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf