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Probabilistic daily streamflow forecasts
based on the combined use of a
hydrological model and an analogue
method
Philippe Crochet
VÍ 2014-006
Report
Probabilistic daily streamflow forecasts
based on the combined use of a
hydrological model and an analogue
method
VÍ 2014-006
ISSN 1670-8261
Report
+354 522 60 00
vedur@vedur.is
Veðurstofa Íslands
Bústaðavegur 7–9
150
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
Íslands
Bústaðavegur 9
150 Reykjavík
Abstract
Fast-rising jökulhlaups from the geothermal subglacial lakes below the Skaftá caul-
drons in Vatnajökull emerge in the Skaftá river approximately every year with 45
jökulhlaups recorded since 1955.
The accumulated volume of flood water was used to estimate the average rate of
water accumulation in the subglacial lakes during the last decade as 6 Gl
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
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project since its beginning in 2010.
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-SAR's office leads the project with the help of many SAR team members as well as others with thorough experience in travelling in Iceland in different conditions. Safetravel is supported by a number of sponsoring companies.
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6 Net downward shortwave radiation flux at the surface .................................... 18
7 Net downward longwave radiation flux at the surface ..................................... 19
8 Net downward total radiation flux at the surface............................................ 20
9 Upward sensible heat flux from the ground .................................................. 22
10 Air
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_006.pdf