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to highly
negative summer balances, but also lower bw than
the average for 1949–2006. Calculated change in
specific mass balance for a ±1°C change in air tem-
perature was ±0.55 m w.e., whereas a ±10 % in-
crease in precipitation represented a change of ±
0.20 m w.e. Model results further indicated that for
a 2°C warming, the ablation season will be extend-
ed by c. 30 days and that the period
/media/ces/GA_2009_91A_4_Andreassen.pdf
)
Use this model to identify policies that are likely to
succeed or that probe key uncertainties;
(2)
being to
(1) Work with stakeholders to develop a shared under-
standing of the system to be managed and the desirable
outcomes, by developing a system model that can be
used for policy screening;
Wal
as a
d
e social and political values in water resource
ment.
ters and Holling (1990) describe
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
ORIGINAL ARTICLE
Climate change adaptation in European river basins
Patrick Huntjens • Claudia Pahl-Wostl •
John Grin
Received: 1 July 2008 / Accepted: 24 December 2009 / Published online: 2 February 2010
The Author(s) 2010. This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com
Abstract This paper contains an assessment and stan-
dardized comparative analysis of the current water man
/media/loftslag/Huntjens_etal-2010-Climate-change-adaptation-Reg_Env_Change.pdf
Forms of Participatory Modelling and its Potential for
Widespread Adoption in the Water Sector
Matt Q1Hare
Durango 330, Depto 2, Roma Norte, Cuauhtemoc, Mexico D.F. 06700, Mexico
ABSTRACT
This article serves as a support for those interested in learning more about participatory
modelling and its potential for widespread adoption by resource managers. The rst part
introduces the reader to four
/media/loftslag/Hare-2011-ParticipatoryModelling.pdf