14 0 1 2 3 8 12
15 0 1 2 3 8 12
16 0 1 2 4 8 12
17 0 1 2 4 8 12
18 0 1 2 4 8 12
19 0 1 2 4 8 13
20 0 1 2 4 8 13
21 0 2 3 5 9 13
22 1 2 3 5 9 13
23 1 2 3 4 9 13
MEAN 1 2 2 4 8 13
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/media/vedur/aerodrome_summaries_20140603.pdf
tunnisteväriSeuraukset
Scenario probability high
ACT
MONITOR
Consequence
probabi lity low
after control
methods
PREPARE
PREPARE
Scenario probability low
Consequence
probabili ty high
after control
methods
Likely
Very unl ikely
Very likely
Virtuall y certain
Unlikely
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Excepti onally unlikely
= major consequences
= moder ate consequences
= minor
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011
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6
Figure 1. Flow chart summarizing information and decision flows of an adaptive management inspired
adaptation planning cycle for road transport (at national strategic / tactical level)
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/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
by remote sensing. Polar Research 2011, 7282, doi: 10.3402/polar.v30i0.7282
Guðmundsson, S., Björnsson, H., Jóhannesson, T., Aðalgeirsdóttir, G., Pálsson, F. & Sigurðsson, O. (2009). Similarities and differences in the response of two ice caps in Iceland to climate warming. Hydrology Research. 40(5), 495-502.
Schuler, T. V., Crochet P., Hock R., Jackson M., Barstad I. & Jóhannesson, T. (2008
/ces/publications/nr/1940
73–100Ásdís Helgadóttir, Emmanuel Pagneux, Matthew J. Roberts, Esther H. Jensen og Eiríkur GíslasonShort summaryChapter V. Öræfi district and Markarfljót outwash plain: Rating of flood hazards (pdf 2.35 Mb)Pages 101–122Emmanuel Pagneux og Matthew J. RobertsShort summaryChapter VI. Öræfi district and Markarfljót outwash plain: Spatio-temporal patterns in population exposure to volcanogenic floods
/volcanoes/about-volcanoes/oraefajokull/new-research/
are being used
to analyse the occurrence of dry spells,
both from historical data and from
climate scenario simulations. There is
significant year-to-year variability in the
pattern of rainfall, and this variability is
assessed based on the range of values
from individual years in the analysis.
No change
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Photo by V. Kudryavskiy, LEGMA
Regional
/media/ces/ces_SA_group_flyer_new.pdf
) Measured 1997 and 1999 ice surfaces of Lang‐
jökull and Hofsjökull, respectively. c) Steady‐state glacier
geometries after a few hundred year spin‐up with constant
mass balance forcing.
Figure 3: Simulated response of Langjökull (L), Hofsjökull (H)
and southern Vatnajökull (V) to climate change. The inset
numbers are projected volumes relative to the initial stable
ice geometries
/media/ces/ces_flyer_glacierssnowandice.pdf
EA Analyse A/S and Optensys
Energianalys will forecast energy system variables, while SINTEF Energy Research will make
assumptions for the energy system in different cases, include new inputs in the EMPS model and
carry out simulations.
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/media/ces/esa_flyer_new.pdf