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Results:

• 51. Hock_Regine_CES_2010rs

  - balance model • Monthly temperature • Monthly precipitation Step 2: Extrapolation of model parameters to all glaciers in Iceland and Scandinavia • Gridded climate variables Step 3: Future projections until 2100 for each glacier: - run mass-balance model - Volume-area scaling Volume-area-length scaling V = c Aγ • Glacier inventory data • downscaled GCM scenarios A(t V(t ΔV Methodology Step /media/ces/Hock_Regine_CES_2010rs.pdf

• 52. Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010

  100 15 17 19 21 23 25 Mean annual peak runoff (mm/day) P e r c e n t a g e b e l o w g i v e n v a l u e g39g72g79g87g68g3g70g75g68g81g74g72g3 g40g80g83g76g85g76g70g68g79g3g68g71g77g88g86g87g80g72g81g87 Percentage change in 200-year flood Uncertainty – Relative magnitude of sampled s urces N = 115 GCM/RCM = 50 EA/DC = 38 HBV = 27 • Differences in GCM/RCM tend to be more significant in inland /media/ces/Lawrence_Deborah_CES_2010.pdf

• 53. Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM

  t / c o s t ratio H i g h L o w S c enar i o 1 S c ena r io 2 Present time 20302020 Socio E c onomic D e v elopme n t Figure 1. Scenario building for AWM in Horsens Fjord To estimate of the adaptation strategy (Table 2) we will use back-casting approach. The assessments of the productivity of this approach are based on main big strategies which need to have an attention. One of them /media/loftslag/Group-1_Scenarios-for-AWM.pdf

• 54. VI_2015_009

  all sites was calculated (RMSET ): RMSET (%) = 1 N N i=1 v u u t1 L L l=1 Qi(D;Tl) bQi(D;Tl) Qi(D;Tl) 2 x100 (7) where Qi(D;Tl) is the reference flood quantile at gauged site i and return period Tl , calculated with the GEV distribution fitted to the observed AMF series and bQi(D;Tl) is the estimated flood quantile, calculated with the IFM ( bQi(D;T ) = bµi(D)qR(D;T )). RMSET was ranked /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf

• 55. programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference

  & 4 Y u a n g Z h e n g D e n m a r k F o r e s t r y & L a n d s c a p e 2 1 0 A t h a n a s i o s V o t s i s F i n l a n d U r b a n & r e g i o n a l p l a n n i n g 3 3 2 E i v i n d J u n k e r N o r w a y L a w 4 3 3 M i c h a e l L a i h o F i n l a n d E u r o p e a n s t u d i e s 5 2 0 H e c to r G u i n e a B a r r i e n to s S w e d e n N a t u r a l r e s o u /media/loftslag/programme2---PhD-Workshop-preceding-Adaptation-Research-Conference.pdf

• 56. VI2010-006_web

  /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2010/VI2010-006_web.pdf

• 57. Publications

  Radic, V., Roald, L. A., Rosberg, J., Rogozova, S., Sigurðsson, O., Suomalainen, M., Thorsteinsson, T., Vehviläinen, B., & Veijalainen, N. (2007). Impacts of climate change on river runoff, glaciers and hydropower in the Nordic area. Joint final report from the CE Hydrological Models and Snow and Ice Groups. Reykjavík: Climate and Energy [Report (high resolution 15 MB)] [Report (low resolution 4 MB /climatology/research/ce/publications/

• 58. Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1

  : to use or not to use? *O'Neill, R. V., and A. W. King. 1998, Homage to St. Michael; or, why are there so many books on scale?: Pages 3–15 in D. L. Peterson and V. T. Parker (editors). Ecological scale: theory and applications. Columbia University Press, New York. • Robert O’Neill questions the unifying capabilities* • Aspects of the land use system have different scale properties • To use /media/loftslag/Kok_1-scenarios-lecture-1.pdf

• 59. Recent publications

  61, 1-18. Oddur Sigurðsson (2011). Iceland glaciers. Í: V. P. Singh, P. Singh & U. K. Haritashya (ritstj.). Encyclopedia of Snow, Ice and Glaciers. Springer, Dordrecht, s. 630-636. Árni Snorrason, Jórunn Harðardóttir & Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson (2011). Climate and Energy Systems – Project Structure. In: Þorsteinn Þorsteinsson & Halldór Björnsson (eds.), Climate Change and Energy Systems. Impacts /about-imo/arctic/completed-projects/publications/

• 60. Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010

  • Analyse future snow scenarios Introduction Data & Methods Results 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 0-100 100- 200 200- 300 300- 400 400- 500 500- 600 600- 700 700- 800 800- 900 900- 1000 1000- 1100 1100- 1200 1200- 1300 1300- 1400 1400- 1500 1500- 1600 1600- 1700 1700- 1800 1800- 1900 1900- 2000 2000- 2100 2100- 2200 Høyde (m o.h.) A n t a l l v æ r s t a s j o n e r Elevation of met.no /media/ces/Dyrrdal_Anita_CES_2010.pdf