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Results:

• 11. Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010

  °C/100y 1975-2000 • 2.35 °C/100y 2000- •Change in precipitation • Average increase 4.8% / 100 y • Range 3.3 – 7.2 % •Glaciers • Results from CES • 25% decrease in volume from 2000 to 2050 Temperature transformation Com parison of series 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 20000 22000 1 9 5 0 1 9 5 2 1 9 5 4 1 9 5 6 1 9 5 8 1 9 6 0 1 9 6 2 1 9 6 4 1 9 6 6 1 9 6 8 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 2 1 9 7 4 1 9 7 6 1 9 7 8 1 /media/ces/Linnet_Ulfar_CES_2010.pdf

• 12. ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN

  /lexuriserv/lexuriserv.do?uri=com:2007:0002:FIN:EN:PDF, 13 April 2009. [2] WTO, World Tourism Organization (2008): “Climate Change and Tourism - Responding to Global Challenges”, UNWTO, 9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. Available at: http://www.unwto.org/media/news/en/press_det.php?id=1411&idioma=E, 7 March 2010. [3] Mooney, J.E. y Miller, M.L. (2009): “Climate change: Creating demand for sustainable /media/loftslag/ECONOMIC_EFFECTS_OF_CLIMATE_CHANGE_ON_THE_TOURISM_SECTOR_IN_SPAIN.pdf

• 13. Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons

  296 Public Choice (2010) 143: 293–301 2 The commons The literature on the commons, or what is more technically defined as common-pool re- sources (CPRs), should be viewed initially from its place in the larger literature on dilem- mas of collective action. Since the foundational work of H. Scott Gordon (1954) on the com- mons, and Mancur Olson (1965) on collective action more broadly, the behavioral /media/loftslag/Public-Choice-2012---McGuiness-and-Walker---Foundations-of-the-Ostrom-workshop---institutional-analysis,-polycentricity,-and-self-governance-of-the-commons.pdf

• 14. IMO_AnnualReport2014

  of events closely. Photo: Sigurlaug Gunnlaugsdóttir. Bárðarbunga Pálmi Erlendsson, Bergur H. Bergsson and others installing GPS and com- munication equipment. Photos: Þorgils Ingvarsson and Benedikt G. Ófeigsson. I C E L A N D I C M E T O F F I C E / A N N U A L R E P O R T 2 0 1 4 5 The magma intrusion from Bárðarbunga to the eruption site at Holuhraun and related tremor pulses /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/IMO_AnnualReport2014.pdf

• 15. VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen

  and our intention is to run these models dur- ing times of hazardous events and even on a daily basis to further improve monitoring. Avalanche monitoring has progressed. The em- phasis is now on improving our services, especially to the Icelandic Road and Coastal Administration with regard to transport. The reason is that com- munity structure has changed considerably in recent years and the need /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf

• 16. 2005EO260001

  level in Skeidará waned. The last sign of a crater explosion was seen at GRF early on 6 November, leaving only a weak tremor signal from the remnants of the jökulhlaup. The jökulhlaup fi nally ended in early December, after ~0.8 km3 of water had drained from the Grímsvötn lake (J. Hardardóttir, personal com- munication, 2005). Location and Volume Constraints Earthquake locations at Grímsvötn /media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf

• 17. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

  a systematic com- parison of results to observed precipitation has been carried out. Un- dercatchment of solid precipitation is dealt with by looking only at days when precipitation is presumably liquid or by considering the occurrence and non-occurrence of precipitation. Away from non- resolved orography, the long term means (months, years) of observed and simulated precipitation are often /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf

• 18. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

  and possibly the stake- holders at different phases of the modelling project. Many QA guidelines exist such as Middlemis (2000) and Van Waveren et al. (1999). The HarmoniQuA project (Schol- ten et al., 2007; Refsgaard et al., 2005a) has developed a com- prehensive set of QA guidelines for multiple modelling domains combined with a supporting software tool, MoST (downloadable via http /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf

• 19. vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760

  with 20% and 2% for the HIRHAM experiments using HadAM3H and with 30% and 7% for the ECHAM- driven experiments for Middle Europe and Scandinavia, respectively. [18] RCM output is not available for the entire period 1961–2100 because transient RCM simulations are com- putationally very demanding. Instead two 30-year time slices are available; one representative for the climate in the period 1961–1990 /media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf

• 20. VI_2014_005

  in an overall cold bias, compared with station measurements. To test, whether this is due to the HARMONIE model core or the external surface scheme, biases of 2-m temperature from SURFEX are com- pared with biases of temperature projected from the lowest two model levels to 2 mAGL. It is found that the negative temperature biases are due to shallow inversion layers near the ground, which are introduced /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_005.pdf