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  • 21. VI_2013_008

    systematically underestimated. The bias is not as pronounced for the non glacial rivers. Com- bining synoptic-scale and basin-scale predictors (method 3) leads to a substantial improvement compared to the use of MSLP fields alone (method 1). Analogue forecasts become similar or better than persistence, depending on catchment and lead time. Usually, persistence performs better for T=1 day and then method 3 /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_008.pdf
  • 22. VI_2014_006

    .......................................................................... 14 2.6 Deterministic predictions ......................................................................... 14 2.7 Forecast evaluation statistics..................................................................... 14 3 Data ........................................................................................................... 14 3.1 Meteorological data /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2014/VI_2014_006.pdf
  • 23. Irafossmyndir_1-4

     Mynd 1  Mynd 2  Mynd 3  Mynd 4 /media/geislun/myndasafn/Irafossmyndir_1-4.doc
  • 24. Forecasts - Hálfdán

    6 Cloud cover: 0% 21 GMT -2° NE 6 Cloud cover: 0% 22 GMT -3° NE 5 Cloud cover: 0% 23 GMT -3° NNE 5 Cloud cover: 0% Tue 2.05 00 GMT -3° NNE 4 Cloud cover: 0% 01 GMT -3° NNE 4 Cloud cover: 0% 02 GMT -4° NNE 3 Cloud cover: 0% 03 GMT -4° NNE 3 Cloud cover: 0% 04 GMT -5° NE 2 Cloud cover: 0% 05 GMT -5° NE 2 Cloud cover /m/forecasts/areas
  • 25. Observations - Öræfi

    Observations - Öræfi | Observations | Icelandic Meteorological office Observations - Öræfi Mon 1.05 14 GMT 6.4° SE 7 Max wind : 7 / 12Road temp. : 12.4° 13 GMT 6.4° SE 7 Max wind : 7 / 13Road temp. : 10.6° 12 GMT 6.4° NW 2 Max wind : 3 / 6Road temp. : 8.3° 11 GMT 5.7° WSW 1 Max wind : 2 / 5Road /m/observations/areas
  • 26. BIHN_windrose_2005-2014

    Wind rose BIHN 2005 − 2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 260 250 240 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 1 2 3 4 5 6 Frequency of wind direction (%) Aerodrome Total observations: 28301 Calm: 5.3% Variable winds: 1.6% Average wind speed for wind direction Wind direction (°) Wind speed (knots ) 0 2 4 6 8 10 0 45 90 135 180 225 270 315 360 N E S /media/vedur/BIHN_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 27. BIVO_windrose_2005-2014

    S W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 26 8 27 9 44 9 36 0 111 1 173 2 39 3 24 9 20 7 9 0 2 9 4 7 1 0 1 4 3 3 1 6 2 6 3 5 6 8 10 1 27 3 39 0 86 7 209 6 71 4 25 7 21 5 8 2 5 4 9 4 2 9 7 7 11 8 7 1 16 0 21 5 Wind rose BIVO January 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 /media/vedur/BIVO_windrose_2005-2014.pdf
  • 28. BIBD_windrose_2005-2014

    W N (Number of observations for wind direction) Icelandic Met Office 02. júl. 2015 36 2 69 4 138 2 187 3 151 2 106 7 83 1 58 1 36 0 20 3 17 6 14 5 14 9 11 0 10 6 13 0 16 7 29 8 55 2 73 0 95 6 140 7 98 9 41 9 20 2 17 7 8 1 6 4 4 8 3 7 5 7 4 4 4 5 7 3 9 2 18 5 Wind rose BIBD January 2005−2014 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 2010360350340 330 320 310 300 290 280 270 /media/vedur/BIBD_windrose_2005-2014.pdf

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