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(Quante and Colijn, 2016). Work on risk analysis and adaptation is in different
stages in the countries of the world.
Coastal floods have caused problems in Iceland in the past (Jóhannsdóttir, 2017) and are likely to do
so in the future as well. Large coastal floods can be expected in Iceland every 10 - 20 years and the
probability of such events can rise with climate change (Almannavarnir, 2011
/media/vedurstofan-utgafa-2020/VI_2020_005.pdf
to theoretical framework. I do also want to thank him for an
enjoyable time during this work, both in the office and in the field.
This work was carried out as a part of the Skaftá cauldrons research project which
was funded and supported by the Icelandic Centre For Research (RANNÍS), Kvískerja-
sjóður, the NASA Astrobiology Institute, Landsvirkjun (the National Power Com-
pany), the National Energy
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
data, models or analyses, then
the following scale of confidence levels is used to express the assessed chance of a finding being correct: very high confidence at least 9 out
of 10; high confidence about 8 out of 10; medium confidence about 5 out of 10; low confidence about 2 out of 10; and very low confidence less
than 1 out of 10.
Where uncertainty in specific outcomes is assessed using expert
/media/loftslag/IPPC-2007-ar4_syr.pdf
day during the 1961–90 control
period, differences in percent of the control period between the control period and
the 2021–50 reference period, and linear trends in percent of the control period
per decade within the 2004–50 period, for the IPCC GCM ensemble mean, the
SMHI-RCAO, the MetNo-HIRHAM, and the DMI-HIRHAM5. . . . . . . . . . . 31
10 Mean annual air pressure at mean sea level
/media/ces/2010_005_.pdf
)
vhm238
S O N D J F M A M J J A
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vhm144
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vhm145
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/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_009.pdf
This is also the case with
cyclones in all three sectors. Cyclones in the eastern or western sector are also strongly affected
by the presence of central cyclones. In both sectors, cyclones tend to move east, unless there are
cyclones in the neighbouring sector, in which case pressure tendencies are reversed.
21
Figure 10. Composite mean temporal MSLP tendencies, for different MSLP modes. Com-
posite mean
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2015/VI_2015_005.pdf
and promoter of the Protocol
and the UK has taken up a leading role on the issue, especially during its presidency
of the EU and the G8 in 2005. The USA, on the other hand, as the greatest emitter
of greenhouse gases, withdrew from the Kyoto Protocol in 2001 and has based its
∗Preasent address: School of Psychology, Cardiff University, Tower Building, Park Place, Cardiff
CF 10 3AT, UK, E-mail
/media/loftslag/Lorenzoni_Pidgeon_2006.pdf
) describes a 10-step approach where narrative
storylines are developed and linked to dynamic models in an
iterative procedure. Stories are developed by a stakeholder panel
consisting of the relevant actors in the region under study, while
models are developed and applied by experts. Examples of global
exercises that have used an approach similar to Story-and-
Simulation include the Millennium
/media/loftslag/Kok_JGEC658_2009.pdf