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Delta Change Method
(correction of observed precipitation)
Transformation of precipitation
cont
fut
obsfut M
M
PP =
Observeret n dbør
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
1-12-99 11-12-99 21-12-99 31-12-99
Dato
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret
Skal ring af e
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
4
- - - -
t
N
ed
bø
r
(m
m
/d
ag
)
Observeret D lta Change
Critical assumption:
Future dynamics = present dynamics
No change in number
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_2-uncertainty.pdf
as river discharge and
water levels. Notices on avalanches and sea-ice
are shown; short articles and news are presented.
Furthermore, web and data portals can be accessed
through the web, which is available in both Icelandic
and English. IMO uses the social networking website
Facebook for communication and feed-back. A new
web-application (App) provides access to forecasts
and warnings
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
-corrected SPOT 5
high-resolution geometric (HRG) images with 2.5 m
2.5 m spatial resolution, acquired in the autumn 2003
and (4) airborne polarimetric synthetic aperture radar
images observed simultaneously to the 1998 EMISAR
images and the EMISAR DEM viewed as a shaded
relief image (Magnu´sson et al. 2005b).
We estimate the average specific net mass balance (in
m yr1 w. eq.) as
bn r
DV
A1 N
/media/ces/Gudmundsson-etal-2011-PR-7282-26519-1-PB.pdf
); new long-term investment strategy prioritizing low- or zero-net carbon forms of
mobility
2040 Modal shift in logistics chains, especially within heavy industry.
3.3 Backcasting scenario narrative
Low-Impact Mobility Project Evaluation (LIMPE)
Climate change is occurring. Is it natural or anthropogenic? It doesn’t matter. Even
though the future is inherently uncertain, one certainty
/media/loftslag/Group4.pdf
1998] and RCM output such
as incoming and outgoing, short- and long-wave radiation,
temperature, water vapor pressure, and wind speed:
ETref ¼
0:408D Rn Gð Þ þ g 900T þ 273 u2 es eað Þ
Dþ g 1þ 0:34u2ð Þ ð3Þ
where ETref is reference evapotranspiration (mm d1), Rn is
net radiation at the crop surface (MJ m2 d1), G is soil heat
flux density (MJ m2 d1), T is mean daily air temperature
at 2 m
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf
anomalies of the WTs during the periods leading up to the five
most severe droughts as compared to the average frequency of a given WT for the same
period of the year over the entire data record. A period equal to dreg preceding the drought
plus the 20 first days of the drought was used. All WTs with a net positive frequency anomaly
over the five events were considered to be associated
/media/ces/ces-oslo2010_proceedings.pdf
sr
el
at
ed
to
ag
ric
ul
tu
re
in
D
en
m
ar
k
Cl
im
at
e
ch
an
ge
im
pa
ct
Adaptatio
n
Typ
e
o
f
proble
m
Conse
quenc
e
Ris
k
leve
l
Dom
inatin
g
uncertaint
y
Optio
n
Cos
t
leve
l
Inten
t
Actio
n
Tempora
l
scop
e
Spatia
l
scop
e
Additiona
luncertaint
y
Sou
rc
e
Natur
e
Sourc
e
Natur
e
In
cr
ea
se
d
su
m
m
er
drought
san
d
highe
r
w
at
er
re
qu
ire
m
en
ts
caus
e
by
longe
rcro
p
growt
h
durat
io
n
/media/loftslag/2012-Refsgaard_etal-uncertainty_climate-change-adaptation-MITI343.pdf
(DGPS) equipment
in 2001. Continuous profiles, approximately 1 km apart,
were measured in the accumulation zone and a dense net-
work of point measurements were carried out in the abla-
tion zone. Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) of the surface
and bedrock were created from these data (Fig. 2; Björns-
son and Pálsson, 2004). The estimated errors are at most
1–5 m (bias less than 1 m) for the surface
/media/ces/Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf