for Meteorological Research, Reykjavík, Iceland
5Bergen School of Meteorology, Geophysical Insitute,
University of Bergen, Norway
†Corresponding author: or@belgingur.is,
Orkugarður, Grensásvegur 9, 108 Reykjavík
ABSTRACT
Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period Jan-
uary 1961 to July 2006, using the mesoscale MM5 model driven by
initial and boundary data from the ECMWF. Firstly
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
be broader than stated? (7) Further
elicit and specify the distribution (shape and percentiles or
characterising parameters). (8) Verify with the expert that
the distribution that you constructed from the expert’s re-
sponses correctly represents the expert’s beliefs. (9) Decide
whether or not to aggregate the distributions elicited from dif-
ferent experts (this only makes sense if the experts
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
lying areas in the City is illustrated for present climate in Figure 5. It is
expected that the future water level of the Horsens fiord will increase by 1 meter by the end of this
century.
Station 270045: Upstream Lake Nørrestrand
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month
M
ea
n
d
is
ch
ar
g
e
(m
3 /
s)
Present: Mean A2: Mean
Station 280001: Upstream Bygholm Lake
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
NONAM PhD course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011
……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………
1
Outline for the case Road maintenance in a changing climate
Introduction
Roads and transport systems are vulnerable to climate change impacts (VTT 2011; Koetse and
Rietveld, 2009; Regmi & Hanaoka, 2011; Road ERA-net 2009 & 2010
/media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
in the data used in making the
decision and the factors are interlinked, all of which makes
the problem highly complex. The part of the net defined by
variables and links is relatively easily communicated to
stakeholders (Henriksen et al., 2007b). However the
tal Management 88 (2008) 1025–1036
quantitative part, with the conditional probability tables
(CPTs), the numbers, is the step where
/media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
The effect of climate change on runoff
from two watersheds in Iceland
Bergur Einarsson
Sveinbjörn Jónsson
VÍ 2010-016
Report
The effect of climate change on runoff
from two watersheds in Iceland
VÍ 2010-016
ISSN 1670-8261
Report
+354 522 60 00
+354 522 60 06
vedur@vedur.is
Veðurstofa Íslands
Bústaðavegur 9
150 Reykjavík
Bergur Einarsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office
/media/ces/2010_016.pdf