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  • 31. Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92

    for Meteorological Research, Reykjavík, Iceland 5Bergen School of Meteorology, Geophysical Insitute, University of Bergen, Norway †Corresponding author: or@belgingur.is, Orkugarður, Grensásvegur 9, 108 Reykjavík ABSTRACT Atmospheric flow over Iceland has been simulated for the period Jan- uary 1961 to July 2006, using the mesoscale MM5 model driven by initial and boundary data from the ECMWF. Firstly /media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
  • 32. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

    be broader than stated? (7) Further elicit and specify the distribution (shape and percentiles or characterising parameters). (8) Verify with the expert that the distribution that you constructed from the expert’s re- sponses correctly represents the expert’s beliefs. (9) Decide whether or not to aggregate the distributions elicited from dif- ferent experts (this only makes sense if the experts /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
  • 33. Horsens_case

    lying areas in the City is illustrated for present climate in Figure 5. It is expected that the future water level of the Horsens fiord will increase by 1 meter by the end of this century. Station 270045: Upstream Lake Nørrestrand 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month M ea n d is ch ar g e (m 3 / s) Present: Mean A2: Mean Station 280001: Upstream Bygholm Lake 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 /media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf
  • 34. CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction

    increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding storms could be as high as 2,5 meters. The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall. NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop /media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
  • 35. Case_A___Horsens_Fjord

    increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding storms could be as high as 2,5 meters. The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall. NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop /media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
  • 36. Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate

    NONAM PhD course – Adaptive management in relation to climate change – Copenhagen 21-26/8/2011 …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 1 Outline for the case Road maintenance in a changing climate Introduction Roads and transport systems are vulnerable to climate change impacts (VTT 2011; Koetse and Rietveld, 2009; Regmi & Hanaoka, 2011; Road ERA-net 2009 & 2010 /media/loftslag/Outline_for_the_case_Road_maintenance_in_a_changing_climate.pdf
  • 37. Machguth_Horst_CES_2010

    experiments with different RCM’s • explore RCM biases • apply a different mass balance model data 2 RCM’s • HIRHAM4, Scenario A1B, 25 km, 1950-2100, Greenland • RCAO, Scenario A1B, 50 km, 1960-2100, Pan-Arctic 4 Weather Stations (Ta, Sin) • GC-Net Swiss Camp: 1150 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • GC-Net Crawford: 2020 m a.s.l. (1995 – 2006) • Asiaq Station 437: 300 m a.s.l. (1983 – 2006) • DMI Illulisat /media/ces/Machguth_Horst_CES_2010.pdf
  • 38. Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management

    in the data used in making the decision and the factors are interlinked, all of which makes the problem highly complex. The part of the net defined by variables and links is relatively easily communicated to stakeholders (Henriksen et al., 2007b). However the tal Management 88 (2008) 1025–1036 quantitative part, with the conditional probability tables (CPTs), the numbers, is the step where /media/loftslag/Henriksen_Barlebo-2008-AWM_BBN-Journ_Env_Management.pdf
  • 39. 2010_016

    The effect of climate change on runoff from two watersheds in Iceland Bergur Einarsson Sveinbjörn Jónsson VÍ 2010-016 Report The effect of climate change on runoff from two watersheds in Iceland VÍ 2010-016 ISSN 1670-8261 Report +354 522 60 00 +354 522 60 06 vedur@vedur.is Veðurstofa Íslands Bústaðavegur 9 150 Reykjavík Bergur Einarsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office /media/ces/2010_016.pdf
  • 40. 2010_017

    Iceland VÍ 2010-017 ISSN 1670-8261 Report +354 522 60 00 +354 522 60 06 vedur@vedur.is Veðurstofa Íslands Bústaðavegur 9 150 Reykjavík Bergur Einarsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office Sveinbjörn Jónsson, Icelandic Meteorological Office   5 Contents FIGURES /media/ces/2010_017.pdf

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