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to determine a global figure for economic
impact (From: EM-DAT 2008).
4 Based on baseline assessments of the case-studies in the NeWater-
project (http://www.newater.info).
264 P. Huntjens et al.
123
these case-studies, more specifically in their level of
AIWM.5 Therefore, this paper intends to identify differ-
ences and similarities in AIWM, to detect general patterns,
and to compare measures being
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is defined as a 24 hour period where the simulations are
dry (rmm5 ≤ 0.1) but the observations are wet (robs > 0.1). Figure 5 shows the
percentage of missing events during the summer months (JJA) at each of the
observation stations. There is higher probability of missing events during sum-
mer than in winter (map not shown). In Fig. 6 the precipitation during missing
Figure 3: Ratio [%] of "false alarms
/media/ces/Paper-Olafur-Rognvaldsson_92.pdf
the contiguous USA. 30th Annual Applied Geography Conference, Indianapolis, October 2007. 10 pp.
Clausen, N.-E., Lundsager, P., Barthelmie, R., Holttinen, H., Laakso, T. & Pryor, S.C. (2007). Wind Power. In: J. Fenger (Ed.) Impacts of Climate Change on Renewable Energy Sources: Their role in the Nordic energy system, Nord 2007:003, 105-128.
Clausen N.E., Pryor S.C., Larsén X.G., Hyvönen R
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............................................................................................................ 4
3. Best estimates of temperature and precipitation change................................................ 7
4. How certainly will temperature and precipitation increase? ....................................... 10
5. Uncertainty ranges and quantiles of temperature and precipitation change .............. 12
6. Hindcast verification of the resampling ensemble
/media/ces/raisanen_ruosteenoja_CES_D2.2.pdf
Sveinsson, S. M. Garðarsson and S. Gunnlaugsdóttir (Eds.), Northern hydrology and its global role: XXV Nordic hydrological conference, Nordic Association for Hydrology, Reykjavík, Iceland August 11-13, 2008, pp 615-622. Reykjavík: Icelandic Hydrological Committee.
Sveinsson, O.G.B., Linnet, Ú. & Elíasson, E.B. (2010). ” Hydropower in Iceland ? Impacts and adaption in future climate”, ”, Conference
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on the slopes the volcano, the jökulhlaups are quick to hit the lowlands once floodwater has reached the glacier's surface — in as little as ~5 minutes at peak discharge.
Chapter V. Öræfi district and Markarfljót outwash plain: Rating of flood hazards (pdf 2.35 Mb)
Pages 101–122
Emmanuel Pagneux og Matthew J. Roberts
Short summary
A semi-quantitative, damage-oriented method
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climate changes between the CMIP3 and ENSEMBLES
simulations 15
4. Impact of RCM data on forecasts of climate change 18
5. Probabilistic projections of temperature and precipitation change 24
5.1 Best estimates and uncertainty ranges of temperature and precipitation change 24
5.2 How probably will temperature increase (precipitation change) by at least X°C (Y%)?
28
6. Conclusions 34
References
/media/ces/D2.3_CES_Prob_fcsts_GCMs_and_RCMs.pdf
4-5 Nov 2008, Helsinki, Finland.
Kjellström, E. (2010). Deliverable 4.3. Report on user dialogue and analysis of regional climate scenarios for northern Europe. Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Technical report, final version delivered 15 April 2010.
Kjellström, E., Drews, M., Christensen, J. H., Haugen, J. E., Haakenstad, H. & Shkolnik, I. (2010). An ensemble of regional
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