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-2049. Projections are based on simulations performed
with 18 global climate models under the SRES A1B, A2 and B1 greenhouse gas scenar-
ios.
To facilitate reading the report, only the most essential diagrams and maps are included
in the main text, additional material being positioned in the appendix.
1 MODELLED SOLAR RADIATION DATA
The quantity examined is incident solar radiation (also termed
/media/ces/CES_D2.4_solar_CMIP3.pdf
as river discharge and
water levels. Notices on avalanches and sea-ice
are shown; short articles and news are presented.
Furthermore, web and data portals can be accessed
through the web, which is available in both Icelandic
and English. IMO uses the social networking website
Facebook for communication and feed-back. A new
web-application (App) provides access to forecasts
and warnings
/media/vedurstofan/utgafa/arsskyrslur/VED_AnnualReport-2013_screen.pdf
provide tables and figures incor-
porating numerical data often generated by sophisticated
models. Finally, scenarios can be surprise-free or trend scenar-
ios, that extend foreseen developments, on the one hand or in-
clude surprises and exploring the extremes (e.g. best case/
worst case) on the other hand.
Scenarios can ensure that assumptions about future devel-
opments are made transparent
/media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
correlated, making the uncertainty of the changes much
smaller than the uncertainty of the absolute values. How-
ever, it is very difficult to quantify the uncertainty in the
simulated changes. In the discussion in this paper we
elaborate on the uncertainties related to the climate scenar-
ios and data, the data transfer method, and the hydrological
model structure, while here we focus
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf