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  • 61. PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final

    et al. (2010) von Korff et al. (2010) Methods: Hare et al. (2006) Hare et al. (2005) Kaner (2007) Lunch 13:30 - 15:00 Scenario development - an introduction to concepts, methods and tools KK Kok and Veldkamp (2011) Kok et al. (2011) Kok (2009) Kok and van Delden (2009) 15:00 - 16:30 Risk perception LE Lorenzoni and Pidgeon (2006) Stern (2000) Coffee 16:30 - 18:00 PhD /media/vedurstofan/PhD_course-Programme_26Aug2011-final.pdf
  • 62. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    and the humanities is needed. Scale Scales and scaling as determining factors behind many environmental problems have become prominent issues in recent literature (Gibson et al. 2000, Cash et al. 2006, Verburg et al. 2006, Kok et al. 2007). Among scientists and policy makers alike, awareness has grown that current environmental problems manifest themselves at various scales and that action should account /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
  • 63. Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS

    : Integrated water resources management; Water framework directive; Catchment modelling; Uncertainty 1. Introduction New guidelines on water resources management emphasise the importance of integrated approaches, cross-sectoral plan- ning and of public participation (GWP, 2000; EC, 2003; Jønch-Clausen, 2004). The commonly accepted approach inte- grated water resources management (IWRM) is defined /media/loftslag/Refsgaard_etal-2007-Uncertainty-EMS.pdf
  • 64. Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal

    and to evaluate the need for further and more detailed case studies. 2. Study area 2.1. Climate and hydrology in Finland The climate of Finland is controlled by several factors such as latitudinal gradient, maritime climate from the Atlantic Ocean and continental climate from Eurasia, the Scandinavian mountain range and the Baltic Sea (Atlas of Finland, 1987; Käyhkö, 2004). In 1971–2000 the average /media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
  • 65. vonKorff_etal-2010

    human and ecological systems are increasingly influenced by public or stakeholder participation, which we will call “participation” in this article. International agreements such as the 1992 Rio Declaration or the 1998 Aarhus Convention, European legislation such as the 2000 Water Framework Directive, and national regulations, e.g., for France (Roche 2003), demand the involvement of the affected /media/loftslag/vonKorff_etal-2010.pdf
  • 66. Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL

    such processes as lobbying from influential regional or local actors (Rhodes 2000). Initiatives may also manifest at the national level as a result of state commitments under international conventions that bind states to decision-making that originates elsewhere. Within the EU context, states have also agreed to be bound by EU legislation, so that directives taken on the EU level directly /media/loftslag/Keskitalo_et_al-MLG_and_adaptation_FINAL.pdf
  • 67. VI_2013_006

    % of the recorded lightning strikes in Iceland were volcanic in origin, but note that this number is greatly influenced by one eruption, Grímsvötn 2011. Table 1 summarises the located lightning by the ATDnet system during volcanic eruptions in Iceland 1998‒2011 (the Hekla 2000 data are from the local LLP system). The date and time of the initiation of the eruption is given, and the time from the initiation /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2013/VI_2013_006.pdf
  • 68. 2005EO260001

    ) that a volcanic eruption seemed inevitable. Multidisciplinary Monitoring of the Eruption At 1930 UTC on 1 November, seismicity in- creased again. By 2000 UTC, earthquakes were continuously occurring and seismic tremor on nearby stations soared (Figure 3), suggesting the beginning of a volcanic eruption. On this premise, IMO sent a warning at 2010 UTC to the NCPA and OACC that a subglacial /media/jar/myndsafn/2005EO260001.pdf
  • 69. FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation

    to create a mathematical model of human behavior and then examine how the model responds to changes in some of the variables in the model. Hurricane Market Mitigation Study - Theory • Basic Theory: Dixit (1990), Optimization in Economic Theory. Result: With full insurance, there is no value to mitigation. • Modified Theory: Simmons and Kruse (2000), Journal of Economics. Result: Assuming /media/loftslag/FMI_-_Disaster_Mitigation.pdf
  • 70. Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation

    fatalities occurred in mobile homes, although only 7.6% of U.S. housing units in 2000. • A one standard deviation in the proportion of mobile homes in housing stock (8.3 percentage points) increases fatalities by 36% and injuries by 18%. The Mobile Home Problem 50 60 70 80 90 P e r c e n t a g e o f C a t e g o r y F a t a l i t i e s Mobile Homes 0 10 20 30 40 F0 F1 F2 F3 F4 F5 F /media/loftslag/Tornado_Impacts_-_FMI_Presentation.pdf

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