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); new long-term investment strategy prioritizing low- or zero-net carbon forms of
mobility
2040 Modal shift in logistics chains, especially within heavy industry.
3.3 Backcasting scenario narrative
Low-Impact Mobility Project Evaluation (LIMPE)
Climate change is occurring. Is it natural or anthropogenic? It doesn’t matter. Even
though the future is inherently uncertain, one certainty
/media/loftslag/Group4.pdf
1998] and RCM output such
as incoming and outgoing, short- and long-wave radiation,
temperature, water vapor pressure, and wind speed:
ETref ¼
0:408D Rn Gð Þ þ g 900T þ 273 u2 es eað Þ
Dþ g 1þ 0:34u2ð Þ ð3Þ
where ETref is reference evapotranspiration (mm d1), Rn is
net radiation at the crop surface (MJ m2 d1), G is soil heat
flux density (MJ m2 d1), T is mean daily air temperature
at 2 m
/media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf
riskianalyysit - ilmaston muutoksen synnyttämät riskit ja mahdollisuudet. 12.03.2009, Research Report VTT-R-01942-09, Tampere. 13 p. + app. 24 p.
Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Test and evaluation of a climate risk assessment procedure. Case study: The Norwegian hydro power company SFE. CICERO, University of Oslo. Report 2009:3. Feb.2009. 44 p. ISSN:0804-4562.
Linnerud, Kristin (2009) Climate change
/ces/publications/nr/1941
of climate change on the routine and periodic maintenance of roads. Helsinki
2009. Finnish Road Administration, Central Administration. Finnra reports 8/2009, 66 p. +
app. 8 p. ISSN 1459-1553, ISBN 978-952-221-172-9, TIEH 3201122-v. (in Finnish, abstract in English)
[5] Salanne, i., Byring, B., Valli, R., Tikkanen, R., Peltonen, P., Haapala, J., Jylhä, K., Tolonen-Kivimäki, O.,
and Tuomenvirta, H
/media/loftslag/CASE_B__Heikki_Tuomenvirta_(FMI)_Introduction.pdf
more in Section 5.2.1.
For temperature, a modification to the basic delta change meth-
od proposed by Andréasson et al. (2004) was used (Eq. (1)), be-
cause results from climate models indicate that cold days in
Finland will warm more than the average monthly temperature
(Räisänen et al., 2004; IPCC, 2007). The delta change approach
therefore included a temperature-dependent component so
/media/ces/Journal_of_Hydrology_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
(DGPS) equipment
in 2001. Continuous profiles, approximately 1 km apart,
were measured in the accumulation zone and a dense net-
work of point measurements were carried out in the abla-
tion zone. Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) of the surface
and bedrock were created from these data (Fig. 2; Björns-
son and Pálsson, 2004). The estimated errors are at most
1–5 m (bias less than 1 m) for the surface
/media/ces/Adalgeirsdottir-etal-tc-5-961-2011.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/CASE_A___Jes_Pedersen_(Region_Midt,_Dk)_Introduction.pdf
increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system and the lake dam. Flooding of the town is expected to occur more frequently. Future flooding
storms could be as high as 2,5 meters.
The challenges have been divided into two main themes: sea level change and rainfall.
NONAM Risk Assessment and Stakeholder Investment. Multidisciplinary Workshop
/media/loftslag/Case_A___Horsens_Fjord.pdf
fiord area. Adaptive challenges due to changes in regional groundwater level
An increase in sea level will cause more frequent flooding in the town due to its low lying position by
the fjord. In 2006, the local town hall was flooded when sea level rose to 1.76 m above normal.
Simultaneously, increased net precipitation and increased rainfall intensity put pressure on the sewage
system
/media/loftslag/Horsens_case.pdf