v
An example of spread between individual
simulations
• Winter (DJF) changes in T2m in the three
recommended CES simulations
DMI−HIRHAM5−ECHAM5−r3
METNO−HIRHAM−HadCM3Q0
SMHIRCA−BCM
Ensemble mean change (2021-2050 vs
1961-1990) in precipitation
ANN DJF JJA
M
E
A
N
S
t
d
D
e
v
An example of spread between individual
simulations
• Summer (JJA) changes in precipitaiton in four
simulations
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
Reykjavík 16. janúar 2010.
Til: Veðurstofu Íslands.
Frá: Landhelgisgæslu Íslands.
Efni: Hafískönnun 16. janúar 2010.
Laugardaginn 16. janúar 2010 fór þyrla landhelgisgæslunar TF-EIR í gæslu og ískönnunarflug. Var flogið
norður Húnaflóann og fyrir vestfirðina.
Einn stakur ísjaki sást í Húnaflóanum á stað : 66°12,7‘N – 21°16,3‘V
Komið var að ísröndinni út af Húnaflóa og henni fylgt til vesturs um
/media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_20100116_rett.pdf
Vision for Proactive Climate Change Adaptation in the Danish Water Sector
Speaker: Helle Katrine Andersen, DANVA hka@danva.dk
To inspire water utilities to develop climate change adaptation strategies and to implement
CC adaptation solutions The Danish Water and Waste Water Association (DANVA) has
developed a vision for Proactive Climate Change Adaptation in the Water Sector
/media/loftslag/Helle_Katrine_Andersen_(DANVA,_Dk).pdf
lágu frá aðal ísnum og náðum að meta
þéttleikann þar. Ekki sáust neinir borgarísjakar né stakir ísjakar í þessu flugi.
Aðalrönd íssins lá í gegnum eftirtalda punkta (tekið með radar). Að sjá var ísinn samfrosta 10/10
1. 66°13,7‘N – 025°35,7‘V
2. 66°24,0‘N – 024°26.0‘V
3. 66°50,1‘N – 023°44,1‘V
4. 67°03,1‘N – 023°31,0‘V
5. 67°00,7‘N – 023°11,3‘V
6. 66°58,7‘N – 022°39,7‘V
7. 66°55,8‘N – 022°23,5‘V/media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_06Jan_2010.pdf
tunnisteväriSeuraukset
Scenario probability high
ACT
MONITOR
Consequence
probabi lity low
after control
methods
PREPARE
PREPARE
Scenario probability low
Consequence
probabili ty high
after control
methods
Likely
Very unl ikely
Very likely
Virtuall y certain
Unlikely
V
e
r
y
l
i
k
e
l
y
L
i
k
e
l
y
V
e
r
y
u
n
l
i
k
e
l
y
Excepti onally unlikely
= major consequences
= moder ate consequences
= minor
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
) and changing climate (CC:CC)
1. Current climate (CU)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
2. Changing climate (CC)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
3. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- current thinning regime
4. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- changed thinning regimes
C
l
i
m
a
t
e
s
c
e
n
a
r
i
o
s
M
ea
s
u
r
e
m
en
t
s
o
f
c
l
i
m
a
t
e
p
/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
-scale natural disaster one would expect that people would
abandon their cars from one day to another.
Political uncertainty – budget uncertainty
Scenario
combination
Impact Adaptation measures
North South North South
A *
CC: Possible increase in the
amount of snow more
snow clearing increase in
operational costs
S-E: increase in traffic volume
increased wear of roads
/media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf
/EPP 2
Stakeholders analysis
26 August 2011 PM/YZ/EPP 3
Stake
h
o
l
d
e
r
s
P
u
b
l
i
c
/
p
r
i
v
at
e
P
o
w
e
r
l
e
v
e
l
(“
n
u
i
s
an
ce”
ca
p
a
c
i
t
y
)
O
r
i
e
n
tat
i
o
n
H
or
s
t
e
n
s
m
uni
c
ipal
i
t
y
(
c
o
m
pe
t
e
n
t
a
u
t
h
ori
t
y
)
P
u
b
l
i
c
S
t
ron
g
Go
v
ernanc
e
N
eighbour mun
i
c
i
p
ali
t
y
P
u
b
l
i
c
S
t
ron
g
Go
v
ernanc
e
Poli
c
y
/media/loftslag/Group5-Stakeholders_involvement.pdf
in the period 6th to the 22nd, eight from ships and one from land. The icebergs were closest to land at 66°28,81'N og 21°23,86'V and close to Selsker (66°07,5N og 21°31'V).
No seaice was in the Greenland Strait in August and northeasterly winds prevailed in the area
/sea-ice/monthly/2009/nr/2330
v
An example of spread between individual
simulations
• Winter (DJF) changes in T2m in the three
recommended CES simulations
DMI−HIRHAM5−ECHAM5−r3
METNO−HIRHAM−HadCM3Q0
SMHIRCA−BCM
Ensemble mean change (2021-2050 vs
1961-1990) in precipitation
ANN DJF JJA
M
E
A
N
S
t
d
D
e
v
An example of spread between individual
simulations
• Summer (JJA) changes in precipitaiton in four
simulations
/media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
Reykjavík 16. janúar 2010.
Til: Veðurstofu Íslands.
Frá: Landhelgisgæslu Íslands.
Efni: Hafískönnun 16. janúar 2010.
Laugardaginn 16. janúar 2010 fór þyrla landhelgisgæslunar TF-EIR í gæslu og ískönnunarflug. Var flogið
norður Húnaflóann og fyrir vestfirðina.
Einn stakur ísjaki sást í Húnaflóanum á stað : 66°12,7‘N – 21°16,3‘V
Komið var að ísröndinni út af Húnaflóa og henni fylgt til vesturs um
/media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_20100116_rett.pdf
Vision for Proactive Climate Change Adaptation in the Danish Water Sector
Speaker: Helle Katrine Andersen, DANVA hka@danva.dk
To inspire water utilities to develop climate change adaptation strategies and to implement
CC adaptation solutions The Danish Water and Waste Water Association (DANVA) has
developed a vision for Proactive Climate Change Adaptation in the Water Sector
/media/loftslag/Helle_Katrine_Andersen_(DANVA,_Dk).pdf
lágu frá aðal ísnum og náðum að meta
þéttleikann þar. Ekki sáust neinir borgarísjakar né stakir ísjakar í þessu flugi.
Aðalrönd íssins lá í gegnum eftirtalda punkta (tekið með radar). Að sjá var ísinn samfrosta 10/10
1. 66°13,7‘N – 025°35,7‘V
2. 66°24,0‘N – 024°26.0‘V
3. 66°50,1‘N – 023°44,1‘V
4. 67°03,1‘N – 023°31,0‘V
5. 67°00,7‘N – 023°11,3‘V
6. 66°58,7‘N – 022°39,7‘V
7. 66°55,8‘N – 022°23,5‘V/media/hafis/skyrslur_lhg/Isskyrsla_06Jan_2010.pdf
tunnisteväriSeuraukset
Scenario probability high
ACT
MONITOR
Consequence
probabi lity low
after control
methods
PREPARE
PREPARE
Scenario probability low
Consequence
probabili ty high
after control
methods
Likely
Very unl ikely
Very likely
Virtuall y certain
Unlikely
V
e
r
y
l
i
k
e
l
y
L
i
k
e
l
y
V
e
r
y
u
n
l
i
k
e
l
y
Excepti onally unlikely
= major consequences
= moder ate consequences
= minor
/media/ces/Keranen_Jaana_CES_2010.pdf
) and changing climate (CC:CC)
1. Current climate (CU)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
2. Changing climate (CC)
- varying thinning regimes
(0%, 15%, 30%,45%)
3. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- current thinning regime
4. Current (CU) &
changing climate (CC)
- changed thinning regimes
C
l
i
m
a
t
e
s
c
e
n
a
r
i
o
s
M
ea
s
u
r
e
m
en
t
s
o
f
c
l
i
m
a
t
e
p
/media/ces/CES_BioFuels_Flyer_new.pdf
-scale natural disaster one would expect that people would
abandon their cars from one day to another.
Political uncertainty – budget uncertainty
Scenario
combination
Impact Adaptation measures
North South North South
A *
CC: Possible increase in the
amount of snow more
snow clearing increase in
operational costs
S-E: increase in traffic volume
increased wear of roads
/media/loftslag/Group3-Road-scenarios.pdf
/EPP 2
Stakeholders analysis
26 August 2011 PM/YZ/EPP 3
Stake
h
o
l
d
e
r
s
P
u
b
l
i
c
/
p
r
i
v
at
e
P
o
w
e
r
l
e
v
e
l
(“
n
u
i
s
an
ce”
ca
p
a
c
i
t
y
)
O
r
i
e
n
tat
i
o
n
H
or
s
t
e
n
s
m
uni
c
ipal
i
t
y
(
c
o
m
pe
t
e
n
t
a
u
t
h
ori
t
y
)
P
u
b
l
i
c
S
t
ron
g
Go
v
ernanc
e
N
eighbour mun
i
c
i
p
ali
t
y
P
u
b
l
i
c
S
t
ron
g
Go
v
ernanc
e
Poli
c
y
/media/loftslag/Group5-Stakeholders_involvement.pdf
in the period 6th to the 22nd, eight from ships and one from land. The icebergs were closest to land at 66°28,81'N og 21°23,86'V and close to Selsker (66°07,5N og 21°31'V).
No seaice was in the Greenland Strait in August and northeasterly winds prevailed in the area
/sea-ice/monthly/2009/nr/2330