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  • 11. Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011

    ]. There is ample experience with backcasting, and consequently much has been said about the underlying principles (e.g. [20]), the methodological 838 K. Kok et al. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change 78 (2011) 835851 Author's personal copy framework (e.g. [8,30–32]), and practical applications (e.g. [33–35]). Also the combination between backcasting and other types of scenarios has been /media/loftslag/Kok_et_al._TFSC_published_2011.pdf
  • 12. vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760

    and Irrigationa Scenario Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Current 101 85 59 13 6 4 1 6 39 79 84 97 A2 145 132 73 10 10 7 6 8 4 75 92 123 B2 137 119 75 16 6 6 6 5 21 74 110 141 aValues are in millimeters. 10 of 18 W00A15 VAN ROOSMALEN ET AL.: CLIMATE AND LAND USE CHANGE W00A15 time and larger area where groundwater levels rise above the drain levels. Table 6 shows the mean discharges /media/loftslag/vanRoosmalen_etal-2009-WRR_2007WR006760.pdf
  • 13. ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01

    difference between the band and the maximum altitude of the glaciers ymax Dgi = ri gi ; ri = DSa2 (ymax yi) nj=1(ymax y j)g j : (12) The second step is carried out after the lowest glaciated elevation bands have been altered by the reduction in the glaciated area at the lowest altitudes. This procedure to distribute the reduction in glaciated area with altitude is clearly quite crude /media/ces/ces-glacier-scaling-memo2009-01.pdf
  • 14. Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160

    agreement on use of terminology. Third, all scoping papers stress that there is no silver bullet solution, with a different view on both scale and governance being appropriate depending on the specific case. Buizer et al. (2011) are strongest on this view by presenting and discussing a framework. Termeer et al. (2010) confirm that there is no best governance approach, drawing an analogue /media/loftslag/Kok_and_Veldkamp_editorial_ES-2011-4160.pdf
  • 15. Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal

    range 90% 93.1593.29 93.2793.36 75.43–75.56 94.5994.71 2040–2069 range 90% 93.0993.31 93.2893.40 75.41–75.56 94.7294.83 2070–2099 range 90% 93.0293.32 93.2493.43 75.38–75.61 94.7994.91 Lowest water level (in the 30 year period) (m) Reference period 92.86 92.72 75.20 94.27 2010–2039 range 90% 92.6292.91 92.9693.13 75.24–75.33 94.4794.59 2040–2069 range 90% 92.5592.82 92.8893.12 75.19 /media/ces/Water_resources_man_Veijalainen_etal.pdf
  • 16. 2010-05-02_En-IES_IMO

    of ash between 3–3.3 km a.s.l. (10,000–11,000 ft) at 60° N, 16° W (~470 km south-east of Iceland). London VAAC have been informed about this siting. Meltwater: Before 16:00 GMT, discharge levels at the old Markarfljóts bridge, ~18 km downstream from Gígjökull, were noticeably lower than yesterday's levels. Between 16:00–17:00 GMT, a meltwater pulse was detected at the bridge /media/jar/2010-05-02_En-IES_IMO.pdf
  • 17. Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010

    ANN−10 −5 0 5 10 15 20 delta w (% ) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17C h a n g e i n g e o s t r o p h i c w i n d s p e e d ( % ) Change in wind over the Baltic Sea in 70 years time at the time of CO2-doubling Chen and Aschberger, 2006 17 CM IP G CM s A need for regional ensemble simulations head2right Changes are uncertain head2right Size and sometimes even sign /media/ces/Kjellstrom_Erik_CES_2010.pdf
  • 18. Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning

    on the Shifts of climatic zones from cooler or wetter to warmer or drier (a) 1971-2000 (b) 2010-39 A1B observational data set (0.25º grid) from Haylock et al. (2008) (b-d) Based on CMIP3 GCM runs for A1B & the delta-change method (c) 2040-69 A1B (d) 2070-99 A1B Jylhä et al. (2010) Uncertainties in climate change schematically Observed climate Future climate Natural /media/loftslag/Case_B___Road_transport_operation_and_infrastructure_planning.pdf
  • 19. VI_2009_006_tt

    lake in a volcanic caldera in the interior of the Vatnajökull ice cap (Björns- son, 1988). Jökulhlaups from Grímsvötn have been known since at least the fourteenth century (Þórarinsson, 1939, 1974). In the beginning of the twentieth century there were about ten years between outbursts but the floods diminished with time and became more frequent. After a catastrophic, rapidly rising flood caused /media/vedurstofan/utgafa/skyrslur/2009/VI_2009_006_tt.pdf
  • 20. 2010_005_

    Century control runs, as well as 21st Century forecast runs, submitted by various institutions to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for their Forth 11 Table 1. General circulation and regional climate models that were considered in this study. Model Version Model Name, Institute BCCR BCM 2.0 Bergen Climate Model, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway CCCMA CGCM 3.1 /media/ces/2010_005_.pdf

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